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Survey of 2,000 Likely Voters

May 28-31, 2004

12% Would Consider Either Bush or Kerry

George W. Bush

Consider 54%
Definitely NOT 39%

John F. Kerry

Consider 49%
Definitely NOT 39%


June 1, 2004--Twelve percent (12%) of America's Likely Voters say that they would consider voting for both George W. Bush and John F. Kerry. At a time when the campaign has been tied for months, these swing voters are vitally important to both campaigns.

This information is drawn for a survey that was reported separately showing that 54% of Americans would consider voting for Bush and 49% for Kerry. Two percent (2%) say they would never vote for either Bush or Kerry.

  • Fifty-six percent (56%) of voters who would consider either major candidate are men; 44% women. Other characteristics of this group include:
  • 34% are Democrats, 28% Republicans, and 38% unaffiliated.
  • 37% are conservatives, 48% moderate, and 14% liberal.
  • 62% are Investors.
  • 53% of this swing group Approves of the way President Bush is performing his job.
  • They are roughly evenly divided when it comes to sending more troops to Iraq (39% in favor, 44% opposed).
  • 39% believe the mission in Iraq will ultimately be considered a success while 36% say it will be considered a failure.
  • Just 8% of this group is over 65 and 18% are under 30.
  • Among those who would consider voting for either candidate, 39% currently say they'll vote for Kerry; 36% for Bush; 20% are not sure; and 6% say they'll vote for some other candidate.
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The national telephone survey of 2,000 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports May 28-31, 2004. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.



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Copyright 2005 Rasmussen Reports

Copyright 2005 Rasmussen Reports