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Pennsylvania Economic Confidence

Below National Average

State data from National Survey of 15,000 Likely Voters May 1-31, 2004

Pennsylvania May 2004

Rating the Economy

Excellent 5%
Good 21%
Fair 34%
Poor 38%


Thursday, June 18, 2004--Pennsylvania's economic confidence is much lower than the rest of the USA.

During the month of May, just 26% of Pennsylvania residents rated the U.S. economy as good or excellent while 38% said poor. Nationally, 31% said good or excellent and 33% said poor.

In Pennsylvania, just 26% of of all adults said the economy was getting better while 59% said it was getting worse. Once again, that's  more pessimistic than the national data. Nationally, 33% said the economy was getting better and 52% said worse.

Rasmussen Reports measures the economic confidence of Consumers and Investors on a daily basis. In addition to gathering responses to specific questions, we compile the data as the Rasmussen Index.

For the full month of May, the Rasmussen Consumer Index averaged 109.2 on a national basis, while the Rasmussen Investor Index averaged 131.3 nationally.

May 2004



 Rasmussen Consumer Index 93.1 109.2
 Rasmussen Investor Index 119.1 131.3

For the state of Pennsylvania, the Rasmussen Consumer Index was at 93.1 for the month of May. That's sixteen points below the 109.2 reading for the nation at large. The baseline of 100.0 was established nationally in October 2001. Higher readings mean a higher level of economic confidence.

The Rasmussen Investor Index in Pennsylvania was twelve points lower than the national average in May.  

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Separately, Rasmussen Reports Presidential polling data for Pennsylvania shows John Kerry and George Bush deadlocked in this vitally important battleground state.

State-by-state economic data has so far been released for New York, California, Texas, Florida, New Jersey, Iowa , Michigan and Illinois. Additional state data will be released later this week.

Rasmussen Reports has also recently released Presidential polling data for the states of Florida, Iowa, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Michigan, Maine, South Carolina, Alabama, Minnesota, New Jersey, Virginia, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Oregon, Missouri, Georgia, Illinois, New York, Texas, California and Ohio.

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This data has been compiled from a national telephone survey of 15,000 Adults conducted by Rasmussen Reports from May 1-31, 2004.  Each night (except Mothers’ Day), 500 interviews with Likely Voters were conducted. State-by-state samples carry a margin of error that varies from +/- 3 percentage points to +/- 5 percentage points depending upon the state. Data for California, Texas, Florida, and New York carries a 3 percentage point margin of error. For Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Illinois, the margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. For all other states, the margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. In all cases, the margin of error is expressed with a 95% level of confidence. In some states, oversampling and supplemental interviews were used to obtain an adequate sample size for reporting purposes.

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