State data from National Survey of 15,000 Likely Voters May
Thursday, June 18, 2004--During the month of May, 25% of
New York voters rated the U.S. economy as good or excellent while
37% said poor. Those figures are substantially worse than the national
average. Across the United States, 31% said good or excellent
and 33% said poor.
In New York, 44% of all adults said the economy was in a
recession during May while 35% said it was not. Once again,
that's significantly more bearish than the data for the entire United States.
Nationally, 40% said the recession was still with us while 39% said
it was not.
Rasmussen Reports measures the economic confidence of
Consumers and Investors on a daily basis. In
addition to gathering responses to specific questions, we compile
the data as the Rasmussen Index.
For the full month of May, the Rasmussen Consumer Index
averaged 109.2 on a national basis, while the Rasmussen Investor
Index averaged 131.3 nationally.
For the state of New York, the Rasmussen Consumer Index
was at 97.0 for the month of May. That's a dozen points
below the 109.2 reading for the nation at large. The baseline of
100.0 was established nationally in October 2001. Higher readings mean a higher
level of economic confidence.
The Rasmussen Investor Index in New York was fifteen points
lower than the national average in May.
Separately, Rasmussen Reports
Presidential polling data for
New York shows John Kerry with a very solid lead
over George Bush in this Democratic leaning state.
State-by-state economic data has so far been released for California,
Additional state data will be released later this week.
Rasmussen Reports has also recently released Presidential
polling data for the states of Florida,
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This data has been compiled
from a national telephone survey of 15,000 Adults conducted by
Rasmussen Reports from May 1-31, 2004. Each night (except
Mothers’ Day), 500 interviews with Likely Voters were conducted.
State-by-state samples carry a margin of error that varies from +/-
3 percentage points to +/- 5 percentage points depending upon the
state. Data for California, Texas, Florida, and New York carries a 3
percentage point margin of error. For Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania,
Ohio, and Illinois, the margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.
For all other states, the margin of error is +/- 5 percentage
points. In all cases, the margin of error is expressed with a 95%
level of confidence. In some states, oversampling and supplemental interviews were
used to obtain an adequate sample size for reporting
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