State data from National Survey of 15,000 Likely Voters May
Monday, June 14, 2004--During the month of May, 33% of
California voters rated the U.S. economy as good or excellent. A
Rasmussen Reports survey found that 35% rated the economy as fair
while another 30% said poor.
These numbers are slightly more optimistic than the
national average. For the month of May nationally, 31% of all
American adults rated the economy as good or excellent while 33%
Forty-four percent (44%) of Californians rate their own
finances as good or excellent. That's five points above the
national average of 39% for the comparable time frame.
Rasmussen Reports measures the economic confidence of
Consumers and Investors on a daily
basis. In addition to gathering responses to specific questions,
we compile the data as the Rasmussen Index.
For the full month of May, the Rasmussen Consumer Index
averaged 109.2 on a national basis, while the Rasmussen Investor
Index averaged 131.3 nationally.
For the state of California, the Rasmussen Consumer Index
was at 115.5 for the month of May, a bit higher than figures for the
nation at large. The baseline of 100.0 was established in
October 2001. Higher readings mean a higher level of economic
The Rasmussen Investor Index in California was also slightly
above the national average.
Thirty-five percent (35%) of California adults say the
economy is getting better while 48% say it is getting
There is often a strong correlation between perceptions of
the economy and voting patterns. The most recent Rasmussen Reports
polling data for California shows John Kerry with a solid lead
over George Bush.
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This data has been compiled
from a national telephone survey of 15,000 Adults conducted by
Rasmussen Reports from May 1-31, 2004. Each night (except
Mothers’ Day), 500 interviews with Likely Voters were conducted.
State-by-state samples carry a margin of error that varies from +/-
3 percentage points to +/- 5 percentage points depending upon the
state. Data for California, Texas, and New York carries a 3
percentage point margin of error. For Florida, Illinois,
Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Michigan, the margin of error is +/- 4
percentage points. For all other states, the margin of error is +/-
5 percentage points. In all cases, the margin of error is expressed
with a 95% level of confidence. In some states, oversampling and supplemental interviews were
used to obtain an adequate sample size for reporting
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