August 31, 2004--The Rasmussen Reports composite poll of
Michigan, Ohio and Pennsylvania shows Senator John Kerry with a
seven-point advantage over President Bush. For the two weeks ending
August 29, the Senator attracted 50% of the overall vote in the
three states while the
President earned 43%.
The seven point advantage in these
states is unchanged from a week ago when Kerry was ahead 51% to 44%.
This is the final update of the
composite survey for these critical states. Beginning
September 8, we will offer Premium Members daily tracking updates
for Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania on an individual state
basis. We will also offer daily tracking updates for Florida and
North Carolina along with weekly updates for 15 other states.
In a typical week, Rasmussen Reports interviews just over 400
Likely voters from the key battleground states of Michigan, Ohio,
and Pennsylvania. These interviews are conducted as part of our
daily national tracking poll.
Beginning September 1, Rasmussen Reports will be doubling the
number of interviews we conduct each night. At that time, we will
release data for the individual states of Michigan, Ohio, and
For the most recent single week, John Kerry attracts 49%
of the vote and George W. Bush attracts 43.
The margin of sampling error for the single week figures is
+/- 5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.