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Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania Composite

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August 31, 2004--The Rasmussen Reports composite poll of Michigan, Ohio and Pennsylvania shows Senator John Kerry with a seven-point advantage over President Bush. For the two weeks ending August 29, the Senator attracted 50% of the overall vote in the three states while the President earned 43%.

The seven point advantage in these states is unchanged from a week ago when Kerry was ahead 51% to 44%.

This is the final update of the composite survey for these critical states. Beginning September 8, we will offer Premium Members daily tracking updates for Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania on an individual state basis. We will also offer daily tracking updates for Florida and North Carolina along with weekly updates for 15 other states.

In a typical week, Rasmussen Reports interviews just over 400 Likely voters from the key battleground states of Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. These interviews are conducted as part of our daily national tracking poll.

Beginning September 1, Rasmussen Reports will be doubling the number of interviews we conduct each night. At that time, we will release data for the individual states of Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.

For the most recent single week, John Kerry attracts 49% of the vote and George W. Bush attracts 43.

The margin of sampling error for the single week figures is +/- 5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

 


Michigan-Ohio Pennsylvania

Two Weeks Ending

Bush Kerry
Aug 29 43 50
Aug 22 44 51
Aug 15 45 50
Aug 8 46 49
Aug 1 46 46
July 25 46 47
July 18 43 49
July 11 n/a
July 4 n/a
June 27 45 45
June 20 45 45
June 13 44 44
June 6 44 44
May 30 45 44
May 23 44 45
May 16 42 46
May 9 40 48
May 2 45 44
Apr 25 45 44
Apr 18 45 45

RasmussenReports.com


Michigan-Ohio Pennsylvania

Week Ending

Bush Kerry
Aug 29 43 49
Aug 22 44 50
Aug 15 44 52
Aug 8 46 49
Aug 1 46 47
July 25 47 45
July 18 44 49
July 11 45 47
July 4 n/a
June 27 45 45
June 20 44 45
June 13 46 44
June 6 41 44
May 30 46 45
May 23 45 44
May 16 44 45
May 9 41 47
May 2 42 46
Apr 25 47 43
Apr 18 43 46
Apr 11 48 44

RasmussenReports.com

 

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