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Welcome

 

 

At Rasmussen Reports we interview 1,000 Likely Voters every single night. Data on this page reflects a three-day rolling average sample of 3,000 Likely Voters spread equally over the preceding three nights. Our surveys were of 500 Likely Voters each night prior to September 1, 2004.

The three-day rolling average is useful in spotting possible trends and measuring immediate reaction to events in the news.  However, sometimes it is difficult to determine whether movement is really a trend or mere statistical noise. The best approach is to use the information on this page in conjunction with the seven-day rolling average data provided separately.

For data from April 16 to June 30, click here.  July 1 - August 31, click here.

Survey of 3,000 Likely Voters over preceding 3 nights (1,500 prior to September 1). This table updated daily

RR

Election 2004

GOP Democrat Spread GOP Democrat Other Not Sure
Today 43.3 46.9 D + 3.6 43.3 46.9 4.1 5.7
Dec 14 44.5 46.7 D + 2.2 44.5 46.7 2.5 6.3
Dec 13 43.6 45.8 D + 2.2 43.6 45.8 2.6 7.9
Dec 12 43.8 45.7 D + 1.9 43.8 45.7 3.0 7.5
Dec 11 43.0 48.0 D + 5.0 43.0 48.0 2.8 6.2
Dec 10 44.1 48.1 D + 4.0 44.1 48.1 3.4 4.5
Dec 9 45.7 47.5 D + 1.8 45.7 47.5 2.6 4.3
Dec 8 46.0 45.6 R + 0.4 46.0 45.6 3.2 5.3
Dec 7 46.5 45.1 R + 1.4 46.5 45.1 2.5 6.0
Dec 6 44.6 45.8 D + 1.2 44.6 45.8 2.9 6.7
Dec 5 45.8 46.6 D + 0.8 45.8 46.6 2.5 5.1
Dec 4 45.3 46.5 D + 1.2 45.3 46.5 3.1 5.0
Dec 3 46.8 45.4 R + 1.4 46.8 45.4 2.3 5.5
Dec 2 46.1 46.2 D + 0.1 46.1 46.2 2.5 5.3
Dec 1 45.6 46.8 D + 1.2 45.6 46.8 3.2 4.4
Nov 30 44.7 47.8 D + 3.1 44.7 47.8 3.9 3.6
Nov 25-29 No polling during the Thanksgiving weekend
Nov 24 45.2 47.3 D + 2.1 45.2 47.3 3.6 4.0
Nov 23 44.0 47.3 D + 3.3 44.0 47.3 3.7 5.0
Nov 22 43.7 46.9 D + 3.2 43.7 46.9 4.2 5.1
Nov 21 43.9 46.4 D + 2.5 43.9 46.4 4.4 5.3
Nov 20 45.5 46.4 D + 0.9 45.5 46.4 3.3 4.8
Nov 19 46.1 45.7 R + 0.4 46.1 45.7 3.4 4.8
Nov 18 45.4 46.2 D + 0.8 45.4 46.2 3.9 4.6
Nov 17 45.0 46.5 D + 1.5 45.0 46.5 4.2 4.3
Nov 16 45.7 46.7 D + 1.0 45.7 46.7 3.1 4.6
Nov 15 46.2 46.8 D + 0.6 46.2 46.8 2.1 4.9
Nov 14 45.8 46.3 D + 0.5 45.8 46.3 2.6 5.4
Nov 13 45.8 46.5 D + 0.7 45.8 46.5 2.9 4.7
Nov 12 45.8 46.9 D + 1.1 45.8 46.9 2.9 4.3
Nov 11 46.5 46.7 D + 0.2 46.5 46.7 2.8 4.0
Nov 10 45.8 47.3 D + 1.5 45.8 47.3 3.0 3.8
Nov 9 44.8 47.9 D + 3.1 44.8 47.9 3.3 4.0
Nov 8 45.1 47.8 D + 2.7 45.1 47.8 2.9 4.1
Nov 1 41.8 47.6 D + 5.8 41.8 47.6 2.9 7.7
Oct 31 42.7 46.2 D + 3.5 42.7 46.2 3.4 7.7
Oct 30 43.0 45.2 D + 2.2 43.0 45.2 3.5 8.3
Oct 29 42.8 44.5 D + 1.7 42.8 44.5 3.4 9.3
Oct 28 42.6 44.3 D + 1.7 42.6 44.3 3.0 10.0
Oct 27 42.2 44.4 D + 2.2 42.2 44.4 2.9 10.5
Oct 26 42.6 44.8 D + 2.2 42.6 44.8 2.8 9.9
Oct 25 41.7 45.8 D + 4.1 41.7 45.8 2.6 9.9
Oct 24 42.6 45.0 D + 2.4 42.6 45.0 2.5 9.8
Oct 23 42.0 44.6 D + 2.6 42.0 44.6 3.2 10.3
Oct 22 42.1 44.0 D + 1.9 42.1 44.0 3.6 10.3
Oct 21 40.9 44.5 D + 3.6 40.9 44.5 4.1 10.5
Oct 20 40.1 45.0 D + 4.9 40.1 45.0 3.6 11.3
Oct 19 40.6 44.3 D + 3.7 40.6 44.3 3.6 11.5
Oct 18 41.2 44.1 D + 2.9 41.2 44.1 3.5 11.2
Oct 17 42.3 43.7 D + 1.4 42.3 43.7 3.7 10.3
Oct 16 41.9 43.6 D + 1.7 41.9 43.6 3.7 10.8
Oct 15 42.3 43.6 D + 1.3 42.3 43.6 3.4 10.7
Oct 14 41.7 44.1 D + 2.4 41.7 44.1 3.3 10.9
Oct 13 41.2 44.4 D + 3.2 40.7 44.4 3.0 11.9
Oct 12 40.7 44.4 D + 3.7 40.7 44.4 3.0 11.9
Oct 11 41.6 43.4 D + 1.8 41.6 43.4 3.2 11.8
Oct 10 42.0 43.6 D + 1.6 42.0 43.6 3.1 11.2
Oct 9 41.4 43.9 D + 2.5 41.4 43.9 3.1 11.6
Oct 8 41.0 45.0 D + 4.0 41.0 45.0 2.8 11.2
Oct 7 40.4 46.0 D + 5.6 40.4 46.0 2.9 10.7
Oct 6 40.7 45.5 D + 4.8 40.7 45.5 3.1 10.7
Oct 5 41.2 45.0 D + 3.8 41.2 45.0 3.0 10.8
Oct 4 41.0 44.3 D + 3.3 41.0 44.3 3.0 11.7
Oct 3 40.1 45.0 D + 4.9 40.1 45.0 2.8 12.1
Oct 2 39.8 45.1 D + 5.3 39.8 45.1 3.4 11.7
Oct 1 40.5 44.2 D + 3.7 40.5 44.2 3.3 11.9
Sept 30 40.7 44.0 D + 3.3 40.7 44.0 3.3 12.0
Sept 29 41.3 42.5 D + 1.2 41.3 42.5 3.1 12.3
Sept 28 41.4 43.4 D + 2.0 41.4 43.4 2.9 12.3
Sept 27 41.8 43.3 D + 1.5 41.8 43.3 2.6 12.2
Sept 26 41.5 44.8 D + 3.3 41.5 44.8 3.0 10.7
Sept 25 41.3 44.8 D + 3.5 41.3 44.8 3.4 10.5
Sept 24 40.2 44.6 D + 4.4 40.2 44.6 3.7 11.5
Sept 23 40.7 43.8 D + 3.1 40.7 43.8 3.2 12.3
Sept 22 40.8 42.8 D + 2.0 40.8 42.8 3.5 12.9
Sept 21 41.1 43.4 D + 2.2 41.1 43.4 3.1 12.5
Sept 20 40.7 43.2 D + 2.5 40.7 43.2 3.6 12.5
Sept 19 41.5 43.7 D + 2.2 41.5 43.7 3.2 11.6
Sept 18 41.9 43.1 D + 1.2 41.9 43.1 3.4 11.7
Sept 17 41.7 43.2 D + 2.5 41.7 43.2 3.2 11.9
Sept 16 40.5 43.9 D + 3.4 40.5 43.9 3.1 12.6
Sept 15 38.9 45.4 D + 6.5 38.9 45.4 3.3 12.3
Sept 14 39.2 45.7 D + 6.5 39.2 45.7 3.1 11.9
Sept 13 39.1 45.4 D + 6.3 39.1 45.4 3.6 12.0
Sept 12 40.1 43.8 D + 3.7 40.1 43.8 3.5 12.6
Sept 11 39.3 44.5 D + 5.2 39.3 44.5 3.7 12.6
Sept 10 39.7 44.0 D + 4.3 39.7 44.0 3.4 12.9
Sept 9 40.5 44.5 D + 4.0 40.5 44.5 3.1 12.0
Sept 8 41.5 43.1 D + 1.6 41.5 43.1 3.0 12.4
Sept 7 41.2 42.9 D + 1.7 41.2 42.9 3.4 12.6
Sept 6 40.4 41.9 D + 1.5 40.4 41.9 3.8 13.9
Sept 5 39.8 42.5 D + 2.7 39.8 42.5 4.1 13.6
Sept 4 40.3 42.6 D + 2.3 40.3 42.6 3.7 13.4
Sept 3 40 44 D + 4 40 44 4 13
Sept 2 40 44 D + 4 40 44 3 14
Sept 1 39 44 D + 5 39 44 3 14
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