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Welcome

 

At Rasmussen Reports we interview 1,000 Likely Voters every single night. Data on this page reflects a seven-day rolling average sample of 7,000 Likely Voters spread equally over the preceding seven nights. Our surveys were of 500 Likely Voters each night prior to September 1, 2004.

This seven-day sample reduces the random variation that can come from smaller sample sizes and polling on different days of the week.

The seven-day rolling average is useful in cutting through the statistical noise of smaller samples and measuring the overall flow of the campaign. However, it lags behind other indicators in measuring reaction to breaking news. Seven-day rolling average data is also available for the Presidential Ballot and the President's Job Approval Ratings. Three-day rolling average information is also available for the Generic Congressional Ballot, the President's Job Approval, and the Presidential Race.

For data from April 16 to June 30, click here.  July 1 - August 31, click here.

Survey of 7,000 Likely Voters over preceding 7 nights (3,500 prior to September 1). This table updated daily

RR

Election 2004

GOP Democrat Spread GOP Democrat Other Not Sure
Today 42.6 45.9 D + 3.3 42.6 45.9 3.0 8.5
Nov 1 42.6 45.6 D + 3.0 42.6 45.6 3.1 8.7
Oct 31 42.5 45.2 D + 2.7 42.5 45.2 3.1 9.2
Oct 30 42.6 44.9 D + 2.3 42.6 44.9 3.1 9.4
Oct 29 42.6 44.8 D + 2.2 42.6 44.8 3.0 9.6
Oct 28 42.5 44.8 D + 2.3 42.5 44.8 2.8 10.0
Oct 27 42.1 44.7 D + 2.6 42.1 44.7 2.9 10.2
Oct 26 42.3 44.6 D + 2.3 42.3 44.6 3.1 10.0
Oct 25 41.7 44.9 D + 3.2 41.7 44.9 3.2 10.2
Oct 24 41.3 44.9 D + 3.6 41.3 44.9 3.2 10.6
Oct 23 41.3 44.5 D + 3.2 41.3 44.5 3.5 10.7
Oct 22 41.5 44.1 D + 2.6 41.5 44.1 3.6 10.8
Oct 21 41.2 44.2 D + 3.0 41.2 44.2 3.7 10.9
Oct 20 41.3 44.0 D + 2.7 41.3 44.0 3.7 11.0
Oct 19 41.7 43.9 D + 2.2 41.7 43.9 3.5 10.9
Oct 18 41.5 44.1 D + 2.6 41.5 44.1 3.4 11.0
Oct 17 41.6 43.9 D + 2.3 41.6 43.9 3.5 11.0
Oct 16 41.6 44.0 D + 2.4 41.6 44.0 3.3 11.1
Oct 15 41.3 43.8 D + 2.5 41.3 43.8 3.3 11.5
Oct 14 41.2 43.8 D + 2.6 41.2 43.8 3.3 11.7
Oct 13 41.2 44.0 D + 2.8 41.2 44.0 3.0 11.7
Oct 12 40.4 44.4 D + 4.0 40.4 44.4 3.1 12.1
Oct 11 41.2 44.5 D + 3.3 41.2 44.5 3.0 11.2
Oct 10 41.5 44.6 D + 3.1 41.5 44.6 3.0 11.0
Oct 9 41.1 44.8 D + 3.7 41.1 44.8 3.0 11.2
Oct 8 40.9 45.0 D + 4.1 40.9 45.0 2.9 11.2
Oct 7 40.6 45.1 D + 4.5 40.6 45.1 2.9 11.4
Oct 6 40.3 45.2 D + 4.9 40.3 45.2 3.1 11.4
Oct 5 40.6 44.8 D + 4.2 40.6 44.8 3.1 11.5
Oct 4 40.5 44.4 D + 3.9 40.5 44.4 3.1 11.9
Oct 3 40.6 43.9 D + 3.3 40.6 43.9 3.1 12.5
Oct 2 40.8 44.0 D + 3.2 40.8 44.0 3.1 12.1
Oct 1 41.2 43.8 D + 2.6 41.2 43.8 3.0 12.1
Sept 30 41.3 43.8 D + 2.5 41.3 43.8 3.1 11.8
Sept 29 41.4 43.9 D + 2.5 41.4 43.9 3.1 11.6
Sept 28 41.0 43.9 D + 2.9 41.0 43.9 3.2 11.9
Sept 27 41.3 43.7 D + 2.4 41.3 43.7 3.1 11.9
Sept 26 41.1 44.0 D + 2.9 41.1 44.0 3.3 11.7
Sept 25 40.8 43.9 D + 3.1 40.8 43.9 3.3 12.1
Sept 24 40.7 43.7 D + 3.0 40.7 43.7 3.4 12.1
Sept 23 41.1 43.5 D + 2.4 41.1 43.5 3.3 12.4
Sept 22 41.1 43.2 D + 2.1 41.1 43.2 3.3 12.4
Sept 21 41.4 43.2 D + 1.8 41.4 43.2 3.2 12.2
Sept 20 41.1 43.5 D + 2.4 41.1 43.5 3.2 12.2
Sept 19 40.7 44.2 D + 3.5 40.7 44.2 3.1 11.9
Sept 18 41.1 44.1 D + 3.0 41.1 44.1 3.2 11.7
Sept 17 40.7 44.4 D + 3.7 40.7 44.4 3.2 11.7
Sept 16 40.4 44.3 D + 3.9 40.4 44.3 3.2 12.0
Sept 15 39.4 44.8 D + 5.4 39.4 44.8 3.4 12.4
Sept 14 39.3 44.9 D + 5.6 39.3 44.9 3.3 12.5
Sept 13 39.8 44.6 D + 4.8 39.8 44.6 3.3 12.2
Sept 12 40.5 43.9 D + 3.4 40.5 43.9 3.2 12.4
Sept 11 40.1 43.8 D + 3.7 40.1 43.8 3.4 12.7
Sept 10 40.3 43.2 D + 2.9 40.3 43.2 3.5 13.0
Sept 9 40.4 43.4 D + 3.0 40.4 43.4 3.5 12.7
Sept 8 40.4 43.0 D + 2.6 40.4 43.0 3.5 13.1
Sept 7 40.4 43.1 D + 2.7 40.4 43.1 3.5 13.1
Sept 6 40.2 42.8 D + 2.6 40.2 42.8 3.5 13.5
Sept 5 39.5 43.0 D + 3.5 39.5 43.0 3.7 13.8
Sept 4 40.0 43.1 D + 3.1 40.0 43.1 3.6 13.3
Sept 3 39.8 43.6 D + 3.8 39.8 43.6 3.8 12.8
Sept 2 39.5 43.3 D + 3.8 39.5 43.3 3.9 13.4
Sept 1 39.2 43.2 D + 4.0 39.2 43.2 3.9 13.7
Copyright 2005 Rasmussen Reports