Washington: Kerry 50% Bush 44%

Election 2004

The current poll results are almost exactly the same as the actual election results from four years ago. In Election 2000, Al Gore attracted 50% of the vote, George Bush earned 44%, and Ralph Nader finished with 4%.

Many of the early Election 2004 state polls suggest that Election 2004 is starting where Election 2000 left off. This includes polls in Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, and Pennsylvania. In Iowa, a state that Bush narrowly lost four years ago, he is trailing by a somewhat larger margin so far this year. In Ohio, a state that Bush won four years ago, the President is currently trailing. Bush is leading in Missouri by seven points. He won that state by four points the last time.

Collectively, these polls suggest that the Electoral College count will remain close so long as the national popular vote remains close. If one candidate or the other is able to open up a four or five point lead, it is likely that many of the state polls will begin to shift in that candidates favor.

Fifty-percent (50%) of Washington voters approve of the way George W. Bush is performing his job as President. Forty-nine percent (49%) disapprove.

As for George Bush personally, 47% have a favorable opinion and 52% an unfavorable opinion.

John Kerry is viewed favorably by 52% and unfavorably by 41%.

On this issue of the economy, Washington state voters trust Kerry more than Bush by a 50% to 39% margin.

The telephone survey of 500  Likely Voters in Washington state was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on March 25, 2004. The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 4.5 percentage points, with a 95% level of confidence.

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