| Survey of 500 Likely Voters March 14-16, 2004 | Pennsylvania: Kerry 45% Bush 44% | |||||||||||||||||
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March 18, 2004--In
Pennsylvania, as the election season begins, it's a toss-up. Massachusetts Senator John F. Kerry
attracts 45% of the Pennsylvania vote while President George W. Bush has
earned 44%.
Four years ago, Bush lost to Al Gore by five percentage points in Pennsylvania. This polling data suggests that the state is clearly in play during Election 2004.
Kerry leads among the state's women voters by seven points while Bush holds a five-point advantage among the men. Fifty-four percent (54%) of all Pennsylvania voters approve of the way Bush has performed his role as President. Forty-five percent (45%) disapprove. Forty-three percent (43%) of Pennsylvania voters give the President good or excellent ratings for his handling of the economy. Fifteen percent (15%) say he is doing a fair job in this area while 41% say poor. Those numbers are roughly in line with the national average. On a national basis this time around, the Rasmussen Reports Presidential Election Tracking Poll has found Bush and Kerry virtually even for weeks. Our first wave of state-by-state polling is currently being released In California, Kerry leads by Bush by 9. In Florida, it's Kerry 48% Bush 45%. In Michigan, it's Kerry 45% Bush 41%. In Ohio, the numbers are Kerry 45% Bush 41%. The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in Pennsylvania was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on March 14-16, 2004. The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 4.5 percentage points, with a 95% level of confidence. |
Presidential Tracking Poll--Updated Daily |
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