| Survey of 500 Likely Voters March 23, 2004 | Minnesota: Kerry 47% Bush 44% | |||||||||||||||||
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March 23, 2004--In
Minnesota, a state whose Electoral Votes the Republicans haven't won in a
generation, Massachusetts Senator John F. Kerry currently holds a very
slim lead over President George W. Bush, 47% to 44%.
That result is within the survey's margin of error and similar to the final election results from four years ago. In Election 2000, Minnesota went for Al Gore by a 48% to 46% margin. However, that result was the closest the GOP has come to winning Minnesota since Ronald Reagan nearly carried the state in his 49 state re-election landslide. Then, in Election 2002, Republican Norm Coleman won a Senate seat giving his party hope that this state might be trending Republican. Coleman's victory followed the tragic death of Senator Paul Wellstone and his replacement on the ballot by Walter Mondale.
Fifty-two percent (52%) of all Minnesota voters approve of the way Bush has performed his role as President. Forty-eight percent (48%) disapprove. In Minnesota, 37% give the President good or excellent ratings for his handling of the economy. Twenty percent (20%) say he is doing a fair job in this area while 42% say poor. Our first wave of state-by-state polling is currently being released. In Iowa, Kerry leads Bush 51% to 41%. In Missouri, Bush leads 49% to 42%. In California, Kerry leads by Bush by 9. In Florida, it's Kerry 48% Bush 45%. In Ohio, it's Kerry 45% Bush 41%. In Pennsylvania, Kerry leads a statistically insignificant margin, 45% to 44%. In Michigan, it's Kerry 48% Bush 44%. The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in Minnesota was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on March 23, 2004. The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 4.5 percentage points, with a 95% level of confidence. |
Presidential Tracking Poll--Updated Daily |
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