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Three Day Presidential Tracking Data

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Welcome

 

At Rasmussen Reports we interview 1,000 Likely Voters every single night. Data on this page reflects a three-day rolling average sample of 3,000 Likely Voters spread equally over the preceding three nights. Our surveys were of 500 Likely Voters each night prior to September 1, 2004.

The three-day rolling average is useful in spotting possible trends and measuring immediate reaction to events in the news.  However, sometimes it is difficult to determine whether movement is really a trend or mere statistical noise. The best approach is to use the information on this page in conjunction with the seven-day rolling average data provided separately.

For data from April 16 to June 30, click here.  Current data, click here

Data prior to April 16 is also available.

Survey of 1,500 Likely Voters over preceding 3 nights.                                                  This table updated daily

RR

Presidential Tracking

(no leaners)

Presidential Tracking

(with leaners)

Core Support

("Certain" Voters)

Bush Kerry Spread Bush Kerry Spread Bush Kerry
Aug 31 47 46 B + 1 49 48 B + 1 42 40
Aug 30 47 46 B + 1 48 48 Tie 42 38
Aug 29 48 45 B + 3 49 47 B + 2 41 37
Aug 28 47 46 B + 1 48 47 B + 1 40 38
Aug 27 46 46 Tie 47 48 K + 1 40 40
Aug 26 47 46 B + 1 49 48 B + 1 41 41
Aug 25 47 47 Tie 48 49 K + 1 40 40
Aug 24 47 47 Tie 49 49 Tie 41 39
Aug 23 46 47 K + 1 48 49 K + 1 40 40
Aug 22 47 47 Tie 49 49 Tie 41 39
Aug 21 47 47 Tie 49 49 Tie 41 39
Aug 20 47 48 K + 1 49 49 Tie 41 40
Aug 19 46 48 K + 2 47 49 K + 2 40 40
Aug 18 46 48 K + 2 47 50 K + 3 40 40
Aug 17 46 49 K + 3 46 50 K + 4 40 40
Aug 16 47 48 K + 1 48 49 K + 1 41 39
Aug 15 46 48 K + 2 47 49 K + 2 40 39
Aug 14 46 47 K + 1 48 49 K + 1 40 39
Aug 13 46 48 K + 2 47 50 K + 3 39 40
Aug 12 45 48 K + 3 47 50 K + 3 39 41
Aug 11 46 49 K + 3 47 50 K + 3 40 40
Aug 10 46 49 K + 3 47 50 K + 3 40 40
Aug 9 48 47 B + 1 49 48 B + 1 41 39
Aug 8 48 47 B + 1 49 48 B + 1 42 39
Aug 7 47 47 Tie 48 49 K + 1 42 40
Aug 6 46 48 K + 2 47 50 K + 3 40 41
Aug 5 45 48 K + 3 46 50 K + 4 40 40
Aug 4 46 46 Tie 48 48 Tie 41 39
Aug 3 45 48 K + 3 46 50 K + 4 40 40
Aug 2 46 47 K + 1 47 49 K + 2 40 41
Aug 1 45 49 K + 4 46 51 K + 5 39 41
July 31 46 47 K + 1 48 50 K + 2 40 40
July 30 45 48 K + 3 47 51 K + 4 39 39
July 29 45 48 K + 3 47 51 K + 4 39 39
July 28 45 48 K + 3 47 50 K + 3 39 38
July 27 46 47 K + 1 47 49 K + 2 39 37
July 26 46 46 Tie 48 48 Tie 39 35
July 25 46 47 K + 1 48 49 K + 1 38 36
July 24 45 47 K + 2 47 50 K + 3 37 38
July 23 45 48 K + 3 46 51 K + 5 37 38
July 22 45 48 K + 3 46 51 K + 5 39 38
July 21 47 46 B + 1 48 48 Tie 40 38
July 20 47 45 B + 2 48 47 B + 1 40 36
July 19 47 45 B + 2 49 47 B + 2 39 36
July 18 46 46 Tie 49 48 B + 1 39 37
July 17 46 47 K + 1 48 49 K + 1 39 38
July 16 46 48 K + 2 48 49 K + 1 39 39
July 15 45 48 K + 3 48 49 K + 1 38 38
July 14 45 48 K + 3 48 50 K + 2 38 38
July 13 45 48 K + 3 47 50 K + 3 36 37
July 12 44 48 K + 4 46 50 K + 4 37 39
July 11 45 48 K + 3 46 50 K + 4 38 38
July 10 45 49 K + 4 47 50 K + 3 38 39
July 9 46 47 K + 1 48 49 K + 1 39 35
July 8 46 46 Tie 47 49 K + 2 39 36
July 7 47 45 B + 2 48 48 Tie 40 36
July 6 47 46 B + 1 48 49 K + 1 40 36
July 5 No polling          
July 4 Fourth of July          
July 3 Weekend          
July 2 46 46 Tie 47 49 K + 2 39 36
July 1 45 46 K + 1 47 50 K + 3 37 36
Copyright 2005 Rasmussen Reports