7 Day Congressional Ballot Apr 16

At Rasmussen Reports, we interview 500 Likely Voters every single night. Data on this page reflects a seven-day rolling average sample of 3,500 Likely Voters spread equally over each night of the week. This reduces the random variation that can come from smaller sample sizes and polling on different days of the week.

The seven-day rolling average is useful in cutting through the statistical noise of smaller samples and measuring the overall flow of the campaign. However, it lags behind other indicators in measuring reaction to breaking news. Seven-day rolling average data is also available for the Presidential Ballot and the President's Job Approval Ratings. Three-day rolling average information is also available for the Generic Congressional Ballot, the President's Job Approval, and the Presidential Race.

Survey of 3,500 Likely Voters over preceding seven nights This table is updated daily

RR	Election 2004
RR	GOP	Democrat	Spread	GOP	Democrat	Other	Not Sure
June 30	37.1	43.0	D + 5.9	37.1	43.0	4.2	15.7
June 29	37.2	42.6	D + 5.4	37.2	42.6	4.4	16.3
June 28	37.3	42.2	D + 4.9	37.3	42.2	4.3	16.3
June 27	36.2	42.5	D + 6.3	36.2	42.5	4.3	17.0
June 26	36.0	43.0	D + 7.0	36.0	43.0	4.3	16.6
June 25	36.0	42.8	D + 6.8	36.0	42.8	4.4	16.8
June 24	36.1	43.2	D + 7.1	36.1	43.2	4.3	16.4
June 23	36.6	42.9	D + 6.3	36.6	42.9	4.5	16.0
June 22	36.5	43.0	D + 6.5	36.5	43.0	4.3	16.2
June 21	36.7	43.1	D + 6.4	36.7	43.1	4.4	15.8
June 20	37.4	42.3	D + 4.9	37.4	42.3	4.5	15.8
June 19	37.8	42.1	D + 4.3	37.8	42.1	4.6	15.6
June 18	38.0	41.9	D + 3.9	38.0	41.9	4.8	15.4
June 17	38.4	41.4	D + 3.0	38.4	41.4	4.8	15.4
June 16	38.4	41.4	D + 3.0	38.4	41.4	4.9	15.3
June 15	38.4	42.2	D + 3.8	38.4	42.2	4.8	14.7
June 14	38.3	42.2	D + 3.9	38.3	42.2	4.9	14.6
June 13	37.8	42.4	D + 4.6	37.8	42.4	4.9	14.9
June 12	37.5	42.7	D + 5.2	37.5	42.7	4.8	15.0
June 11	37.5	42.8	D + 5.3	37.5	42.8	4.7	14.9
June 10	36.9	43.1	D + 6.2	36.9	43.1	4.5	15.5
June 9	36.8	43.2	D + 6.4	36.8	43.2	4.5	15.5
June 8	36.7	43.0	D + 6.3	36.7	43.0	4.7	15.6
June 7	36.6	43.3	D + 6.7	36.6	43.3	4.6	15.5
June 6	36.3	43.4	D + 7.1	36.3	43.4	4.5	15.7
June 5	36.4	42.8	D + 6.4	36.4	42.8	4.7	16.1
June 4	36.4	42.9	D + 6.5	36.4	42.9	4.8	15.9
June 3	37.0	42.4	D + 5.4	37.0	42.4	5.0	15.6
June 2	36.7	42.5	D + 5.8	36.7	42.5	4.8	16.1
June 1	36.6	42.5	D + 5.9	36.6	42.5	5.0	15.9
May 31	36.5	42.3	D + 5.8	36.5	42.3	5.2	16.1
May 30	37.0	42.3	D + 5.3	37.0	42.3	5.0	15.7
May 29	36.8	42.8	D + 6.0	36.8	42.8	4.8	15.6
May 28	36.9	42.5	D + 5.6	36.9	42.5	5.0	15.6
May 27	36.8	42.7	D + 5.9	36.8	42.7	4.7	15.8
May 26	36.9	43.3	D + 6.4	36.9	43.3	5.0	14.8
May 25	37.5	43.2	D + 5.7	37.5	43.2	4.6	14.7
May 24	38.1	42.7	D + 4.6	38.1	42.7	4.5	14.7
May 23	37.9	42.9	D + 5.0	37.9	42.9	5.0	14.3
May 22	37.8	42.8	D + 5.0	37.8	42.8	5.1	14.4
May 21	37.9	42.9	D + 5.0	37.9	42.9	4.9	14.4
May 20	37.5	42.9	D + 5.4	37.5	42.9	5.2	14.4
May 19	37.4	42.5	D + 5.1	37.4	42.5	5.1	15.0
May 18	36.7	43.0	D + 6.3	36.7	43.0	4.9	15.5
May 17	36.8	43.1	D + 6.3	36.8	43.1	4.8	15.4
May 16	36.6	43.2	D + 6.6	36.6	43.2	4.3	16.0
May 15	36.7	43.0	D + 6.3	36.7	43.0	4.3	16.0
May 14	36.6	42.9	D + 6.3	36.6	42.9	4.4	16.1
May 13	36.1	42.6	D + 6.5	36.1	42.6	4.7	16.6
May 12	36.3	42.4	D + 6.1	36.3	42.4	4.5	16.8
May 11	36.4	41.9	D + 5.5	36.4	41.9	5.1	16.8
May 10	No Polling on Mothers' Day
May 9	35.4	42.7	D + 7.3	35.4	42.7	5.1	16.8
May 8	35.4	42.6	D + 7.2	35.4	42.6	5.2	16.7
May 7	35.9	42.6	D + 6.7	35.9	42.6	5.2	16.2
May 6	35.6	43.0	D + 7.4	35.6	43.0	5.3	16.1
May 5	36.3	43.1	D + 6.8	36.3	43.1	4.6	16.0
May 4	35.9	43.3	D + 7.4	35.9	43.3	5.0	15.9
May 3	36.0	43.1	D + 7.1	36.0	43.1	4.9	16.0
May 2	36.8	42.7	D + 5.9	36.8	42.7	4.7	15.8
May 1	37.9	42.9	D + 5.0	37.9	42.9	4.0	15.2
Apr 30	37.5	42.1	D + 4.6	36.3	43.1	4.9	15.6
Apr 29	37.6	41.8	D + 4.2	35.5	42.8	5.4	16.4
Apr 28	37.4	41.8	D + 4.4	36.4	41.7	5.3	16.7
Apr 27	37.1	41.5	D + 4.4	37.5	41.3	4.8	16.4
Apr 26	37.7	41.7	D + 4.0	39.7	40.9	4.4	15.1
Apr 25	37.5	42.3	D + 4.8	39.2	41.0	5.1	14.7
Apr 24	37.2	42.4	D + 5.2	37.9	41.9	5.2	14.9
Apr 23	36.7	42.8	D + 6.1	35.6	42.5	5.4	16.4
Apr 22	36.6	42.6	D + 6.0	35.7	42.5	5.6	16.3
Apr 21	37.0	42.2	D + 5.2	36.6	43.6	4.7	15.0
Apr 20	37.6	42.1	D + 4.5	38.0	43.1	4.2	14.7
Apr 19	37.1	42.2	D + 5.1	37.9	43.3	3.8	15.1
Apr 18	36.8	42.4	D + 5.6	36.7	41.6	5.3	16.4
Apr 17	36.7	42.5	D + 5.8	37.2	41.5	5.3	15.9
Apr 16	36.7	42.0	D + 5.3	37.2	40.9	5.5	16.3