RR Presidential Track

Welcome to the Rasmussen Reports Daily Snapshot. This page is updated daily at noon Eastern to provide a quick overview of the Presidential Race. Questions or comments?

Broadcast Bias: See what people think about ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN, and Fox News.

Tracking Polls: Tracking Polls for Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, and Pennsylvania have been updated for Sunday. Next update, Monday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern.

Other States: Just Released... Colorado is a Toss-Up... for both the White House and the Senate. New Hampshire leans towards Kerry. More to come, later tonight.

Kerry up by 5 in Washington, Bush up by 6 in South Carolina. We will begin daily Tracking in Minnesota next week (replacing North Carolina which seems safely in the Bush column). Our latest state polling data is now summarized on the State Polling Summary page.

Scott's Page comments on Cell Phones and polling.

Perspectives on Iraq: See the data. Debate Perspectives: 32% of voters would watch the World Series rather than the Presidential Debates. Few believe the debates could change their mind. Bush, Kerry, and Vietnam--We asked some questions Wednesday night about the Vietnam era military service of both Bush and Kerry. Also, see data from Tuesday night's survey on the CBS Memos.

Archives: Review Daily Snapshot for yesterday, Sept 17, Sept 16, Sept 15, Sept 14, Sept 13, Sept 12, Sept 11, Sept 10, Sept 9, Sept 8 Sept 7, Sept 6, Sept 5, Sept 4, Sept 3, Sept 2, or Sept 1.

Rasmussen Reports Top-Lines (3-Day Rolling Average)
	19-Sep	18-Sep	17-Sep	16-Sep	15-Sep	14-Sep	13-Sep	12-Sep	11-Sep
Bush	47.8%	49.4%	49.2%	49.3%	47.3%	47.1%	47.2%	48.3%	47.5%
Kerry	46.1%	44.8%	45.2%	44.7%	46.5%	46.5%	46.4%	45.2%	46.1%

Sunday, September 19, 2004			Sunday, September 19, 2004
3-Day Rolling Average			3-Day Rolling Average
Ballot	National	16-State	Ballot	GOP	Dem	Oth
Bush	47.8%	46.3%	Bush	83.6%	17.4%	43.3%
Kerry	46.1%	47.4%	Kerry	13.6%	78.1%	42.9%

Ballot (with Leaners)
Bush	49.3%	48.0%	Bush Fav	85.1%	23.7%	48.4%
Kerry	48.4%	49.3%	Unfavorable	14.3%	74.9%	50.2%

Bush Fav	52.1%	50.0%	Kerry Fav	17.8%	80.9%	49.2%
Unfavorable	46.8%	48.6%	Unfavorable	80.5%	17.9%	48.9%

Kerry Fav	50.3%	51.2%	Right Track	69.2%	17.2%	36.8%
Unfavorable	48.2%	47.4%	Wrong	26.9%	79.1%	58.7%

Right Track	40.9%	39.2%	Interest	7.6	7.3	7.0
Wrong	55.1%	56.5%

Certain-Bush	89.2%	89.2%
Certain-Kerry	85.5%	87.6%

Interest	7.3	7.4

NOTE: "Interest" refers to interest in the Presidential campaign. We ask people to rate how closely they are following the race on a scale from 0 to 9 (with nine meaning they are following the race closely every day). The numbers are presented as an average.

"Certain-Bush" and "Certain-Kerry" refers to the percent of voters for each candidate who are certain of how they will vote.

Rasmussen Reports Selected Data
16-States, 7-Day Rolling Average
	19-Sep	18-Sep	17-Sep	16-Sep	15-Sep	14-Sep	13-Sep	12-Sep	11-Sep	10-Sep
Bush	46.4%	46.4%	46.8%	47.2%	47.2%	46.3%	46.4%	46.4%	46.4%	46.3%
Kerry	47.5%	47.3%	47.5%	47.1%	47.4%	48.4%	48.2%	48.1%	48.0%	47.6%

Bush Fav	51.2%	51.7%	52.0%	52.0%	51.5%	50.7%	50.5%	50.2%	50.2%	50.6%
Unfav	47.6%	47.0%	46.8%	46.9%	47.1%	48.1%	48.4%	48.8%	48.7%	48.3%

Kerry Fav	51.3%	51.3%	51.4%	51.3%	51.5%	52.4%	52.3%	52.3%	51.9%	51.2%
Unfav	47.0%	46.8%	46.9%	46.8%	46.4%	45.5%	45.6%	45.6%	45.8%	45.5%

Right Track	39.6%	40.3%	41.2%	40.9%	40.9%	40.3%	40.4%	40.5%	40.3%	40.3%
Wrong	56.0%	55.1%	54.4%	54.8%	54.9%	55.3%	55.7%	55.7%	55.8%	55.7%

Bush Approve	50.5%	50.7%	51.3%	51.1%	51.0%	50.0%	50.3%	50.4%	50.8%	50.8%
Disapprove	48.8%	48.7%	48.2%	48.5%	48.6%	49.6%	49.4%	49.2%	48.7%	48.7%

The "16-States" are Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Missouri, Wisconsin, Arizona, Minnesota, Oregon, Iowa, Arkansas, Nevada, New Mexico, West Virginia, Maine, and New Hampshire