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Daily Snapshot--Friday, October 8

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Welcome

Welcome to the Rasmussen Reports Daily Snapshot. This page is updated at least twice daily. Questions or comments?

Senate: South Carolina, DeMint + 6. Georgia: Isakson +12

Daily Tracking Polls: Tracking Polls for Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Pennsylvania have been updated for Friday. Next update, Saturday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern.

Bush-Kerry Debate Number 2: Polling from last night suggests another large audience for the second Presidential Debate. Voters are evenly divided as to whether domestic political issues or national security issues are more important.

Electoral College: After moving Florida to "Leans Bush" yesterday, it's Bush 240 Kerry 169 in the Electoral College. Minnesota and Michigan are inching back towards Kerry, but not enough to warrant a change at this time. Yesterday, our Ohio track showed a bounce in the President's direction. At the moment, I believe that's statistical noise.

 

Rasmussen Reports Top-Lines (3-Day Rolling Average)
  8-Oct 7-Oct 6-Oct 5-Oct 4-Oct 3-Oct 2-Oct 1-Oct 30-Sep
Bush 48.4% 47.8% 47.2% 47.9% 48.6% 49.0% 48.6% 48.7% 48.5%
Kerry 46.1% 46.7% 46.9% 47.0% 46.1% 45.4% 45.6% 45.3% 46.1%

Archives:  Review Daily Snapshot for yesterday, October 6, October 5, October 4, October 3, October 2October 1,September.

Friday, October 08, 2004   Friday, October 08, 2004
3-Day Rolling Average   3-Day Rolling Average
Ballot National 16-State   Ballot GOP Dem Other
Bush 48.4% 48.9%   Bush 86.2% 16.3% 45.3%
Kerry 46.1% 46.4%   Kerry 11.5% 79.6% 41.8%
               
Ballot (with Leaners)              
Bush 49.6% 50.0%   Bush Fav 87.1% 22.3% 50.4%
Kerry 47.7% 46.8%   Unfavorable 12.7% 76.2% 48.2%
               
Bush Fav 52.3% 53.2%   Kerry Fav 15.7% 82.9% 49.2%
Unfavorable 46.7% 45.9%   Unfavorable 83.1% 15.8% 48.1%
               
Kerry Fav 50.7% 50.0%   Right Track 73.3% 17.7% 35.6%
Unfavorable 47.7% 48.1%   Wrong 22.5% 79.5% 58.0%
               
Right Track 42.0% 42.7%   Interest  7.7 7.7 7.4
Wrong 53.8% 52.3%          
               
Certain-Bush 89.5% 91.1%          
Certain-Kerry 88.4% 87.7%          
               
Interest  7.7 7.7          

NOTE: "Interest" refers to interest in the Presidential campaign. We ask people to rate how closely they are following the race on a scale from 0 to 9 (with nine meaning they are following the race closely every day). The numbers are presented as an average.

"Certain-Bush" and "Certain-Kerry" refers to the percent of voters for each candidate who are certain of how they will vote.

Rasmussen Reports Selected Data
16-States, 7-Day Rolling Average
  8-Oct 7-Oct 6-Oct 5-Oct 4-Oct 3-Oct 2-Oct 1-Oct 30-Sep 29-Sep
Bush 48.4% 48.5% 48.0% 48.3% 48.2% 48.5% 48.1% 48.4% 47.3% 47.5%
Kerry 46.8% 46.3% 46.3% 46.4% 46.2% 45.6% 46.0% 45.7% 46.8% 46.9%
                     
Bush Fav 52.4% 52.8% 51.8% 52.7% 53.1% 53.4% 53.2% 52.7% 52.4% 52.3%
Unfav 46.4% 46.2% 46.9% 46.2% 45.8% 45.5% 45.8% 46.1% 46.4% 46.6%
                     
Kerry Fav 50.8% 50.4% 50.3% 50.2% 49.9% 49.2% 49.3% 49.2% 49.8% 49.9%
Unfav 47.5% 47.9% 47.8% 48.2% 48.4% 49.0% 49.2% 48.9% 48.7% 48.6%
                     
Right Track 42.0% 41.9% 41.7% 42.0% 42.3% 42.1% 42.2% 41.1% 42.0% 42.0%
Wrong 53.6% 53.8% 54.1% 54.1% 53.9% 54.0% 54.0% 54.8% 54.6% 54.7%
                     
Bush Approve 52.6% 52.8% 52.0% 52.6% 52.8% 53.6% 53.3% 52.8% 52.1% 52.2%
Disapprove 46.9% 46.5% 47.5% 46.9% 46.7% 46.0% 46.3% 46.7% 47.6% 47.5%

The "16-States" are Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Missouri, Wisconsin, Arizona, Minnesota, Oregon, Iowa, Arkansas, Nevada, New Mexico, West Virginia, Maine, and New Hampshire

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