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Daily Snapshot--Thursday, October 7

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Welcome

Welcome to the Rasmussen Reports Daily Snapshot. This page is updated at least twice daily. Questions or comments?

Electoral College: Unless there is a strong move in Kerry's direction with today's numbers, we will move Florida to the "Leans Bush" column today. Daily Tracking Polls: Tracking Polls for Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Pennsylvania have been updated for Wednesday. Next update, Thursday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern.

 

Debate: Reaction to the Vice Presidential Debate shows little change among voters. Scott's Page comments on the Kerry bounce.

Rasmussen Reports Top-Lines (3-Day Rolling Average)
  7-Oct 6-Oct 5-Oct 4-Oct 3-Oct 2-Oct 1-Oct 30-Sep 29-Sep
Bush 47.8% 47.2% 47.9% 48.6% 49.0% 48.6% 48.7% 48.5% 49.1%
Kerry 46.7% 46.9% 47.0% 46.1% 45.4% 45.6% 45.3% 46.1% 45.3%

Archives:  Review Daily Snapshot for yesterday, October 5esterday, October 4, October 3, October 2October 1,September.

Thursday, October 07, 2004   Thursday, October 07, 2004
3-Day Rolling Average   3-Day Rolling Average
Ballot National 16-State   Ballot GOP Dem Other
Bush 47.8% 47.5%   Bush 86.2% 16.2% 42.5%
Kerry 46.7% 47.4%   Kerry 11.7% 79.8% 44.1%
               
Ballot (with Leaners)              
Bush 49.1% 49.1%   Bush Fav 87.8% 21.5% 47.7%
Kerry 48.1% 47.8%   Unfavorable 11.9% 76.7% 51.3%
               
Bush Fav 51.8% 51.4%   Kerry Fav 16.0% 84.3% 52.1%
Unfavorable 47.2% 47.8%   Unfavorable 82.8% 14.1% 45.2%
               
Kerry Fav 51.9% 51.5%   Right Track 72.5% 16.9% 33.1%
Unfavorable 46.4% 46.9%   Wrong 23.3% 79.6% 60.8%
               
Right Track 40.9% 41.1%   Interest  7.7 7.7 7.4
Wrong 54.7% 54.2%          
               
Certain-Bush 88.9% 91.1%          
Certain-Kerry 87.6% 87.6%          
               
Interest  7.6 7.7          

NOTE: "Interest" refers to interest in the Presidential campaign. We ask people to rate how closely they are following the race on a scale from 0 to 9 (with nine meaning they are following the race closely every day). The numbers are presented as an average.

"Certain-Bush" and "Certain-Kerry" refers to the percent of voters for each candidate who are certain of how they will vote.

Rasmussen Reports Selected Data
16-States, 7-Day Rolling Average
  7-Oct 6-Oct 5-Oct 4-Oct 3-Oct 2-Oct 1-Oct 30-Sep 29-Sep 28-Sep
Bush 48.5% 48.0% 48.3% 48.2% 48.5% 48.1% 48.4% 47.3% 47.5% 47.0%
Kerry 46.3% 46.3% 46.4% 46.2% 45.6% 46.0% 45.7% 46.8% 46.9% 47.0%
                     
Bush Fav 52.8% 51.8% 52.7% 53.1% 53.4% 53.2% 52.7% 52.4% 52.3% 52.0%
Unfav 46.2% 46.9% 46.2% 45.8% 45.5% 45.8% 46.1% 46.4% 46.6% 46.7%
                     
Kerry Fav 50.4% 50.3% 50.2% 49.9% 49.2% 49.3% 49.2% 49.8% 49.9% 50.0%
Unfav 47.9% 47.8% 48.2% 48.4% 49.0% 49.2% 48.9% 48.7% 48.6% 48.0%
                     
Right Track 41.9% 41.7% 42.0% 42.3% 42.1% 42.2% 41.1% 42.0% 42.0% 41.4%
Wrong 53.8% 54.1% 54.1% 53.9% 54.0% 54.0% 54.8% 54.6% 54.7% 55.4%
                     
Bush Approve 52.8% 52.0% 52.6% 52.8% 53.6% 53.3% 52.8% 52.1% 52.2% 52.0%
Disapprove 46.5% 47.5% 46.9% 46.7% 46.0% 46.3% 46.7% 47.6% 47.5% 47.6%

The "16-States" are Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Missouri, Wisconsin, Arizona, Minnesota, Oregon, Iowa, Arkansas, Nevada, New Mexico, West Virginia, Maine, and New Hampshire

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