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Daily Snapshot--Monday, October 4

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Welcome

Welcome to the Rasmussen Reports Daily Snapshot. This page is updated at least twice daily. Questions or comments?

 

Florida: The President has held a 3-5 point lead in Florida for five consecutive days. It is still in our Toss-Up category, but we will be watching closely. At the moment, the Electoral College projection remains 213-169.

Debate: New data shows belief that Bush lost debate is growing. Limited impact on perceptions of candidate Ideology, but increased support for finishing Iraq mission. Compare results from before and after debate.

Daily Tracking Polls: Tracking Polls for Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Pennsylvania have been updated for Monday. Next update, Tuesday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern.

Rasmussen Reports Top-Lines (3-Day Rolling Average)
  4-Oct 3-Oct 2-Oct 1-Oct 30-Sep 29-Sep 28-Sep 27-Sep 26-Sep
Bush 48.6% 49.0% 48.6% 48.7% 48.5% 49.1% 47.9% 47.8% 47.2%
Kerry 46.1% 45.4% 45.6% 45.3% 46.1% 45.3% 46.3% 46.1% 46.5%

Archives:  Review Daily Snapshot for yesterday, October 2October 1,September.

Monday, October 04, 2004   Monday, October 04, 2004
3-Day Rolling Average   3-Day Rolling Average
Ballot National 16-State   Ballot GOP Dem Other
Bush 48.6% 48.9%   Bush 86.6% 17.3% 42.1%
Kerry 46.1% 46.2%   Kerry 11.0% 77.8% 47.1%
               
Ballot (with Leaners)              
Bush 49.3% 49.7%   Bush Fav 88.0% 23.8% 45.6%
Kerry 47.5% 47.0%   Unfavorable 11.7% 74.0% 52.2%
               
Bush Fav 52.5% 52.9%   Kerry Fav 15.4% 80.9% 51.8%
Unfavorable 46.0% 45.7%   Unfavorable 83.3% 16.8% 45.0%
               
Kerry Fav 50.1% 50.6%   Right Track 74.0% 20.0% 35.7%
Unfavorable 47.8% 47.4%   Wrong 22.2% 76.3% 58.5%
               
Right Track 43.5% 42.4%   Interest  7.8 7.6 7.2
Wrong 52.3% 53.1%          
               
Certain-Bush 90.6% 91.0%          
Certain-Kerry 86.5% 88.2%          
               
Interest  7.6 7.6          

NOTE: "Interest" refers to interest in the Presidential campaign. We ask people to rate how closely they are following the race on a scale from 0 to 9 (with nine meaning they are following the race closely every day). The numbers are presented as an average.

"Certain-Bush" and "Certain-Kerry" refers to the percent of voters for each candidate who are certain of how they will vote.

Rasmussen Reports Selected Data
16-States, 7-Day Rolling Average
  4-Oct 3-Oct 2-Oct 1-Oct 30-Sep 29-Sep 28-Sep 27-Sep 26-Sep 25-Sep
Bush 48.2% 48.5% 48.1% 48.4% 47.3% 47.5% 47.0% 47.4% 47.3% 47.3%
Kerry 46.2% 45.6% 46.0% 45.7% 46.8% 46.9% 47.0% 46.6% 46.8% 46.8%
                     
Bush Fav 53.1% 53.4% 53.2% 52.7% 52.4% 52.3% 52.0% 52.2% 52.3% 51.9%
Unfav 45.8% 45.5% 45.8% 46.1% 46.4% 46.6% 46.7% 46.6% 46.6% 46.9%
                     
Kerry Fav 49.9% 49.2% 49.3% 49.2% 49.8% 49.9% 50.0% 49.7% 49.8% 49.9%
Unfav 48.4% 49.0% 49.2% 48.9% 48.7% 48.6% 48.0% 48.3% 48.3% 48.2%
                     
Right Track 42.3% 42.1% 42.2% 41.1% 42.0% 42.0% 41.4% 41.2% 41.9% 41.3%
Wrong 53.9% 54.0% 54.0% 54.8% 54.6% 54.7% 55.4% 55.2% 54.6% 55.1%
                     
Bush Approve 52.8% 53.6% 53.3% 52.8% 52.1% 52.2% 52.0% 51.7% 51.3% 50.8%
Disapprove 46.7% 46.0% 46.3% 46.7% 47.6% 47.5% 47.6% 47.9% 48.2% 48.5%

The "16-States" are Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Missouri, Wisconsin, Arizona, Minnesota, Oregon, Iowa, Arkansas, Nevada, New Mexico, West Virginia, Maine, and New Hampshire

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