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Welcome |
|
Welcome to the Rasmussen Reports Daily Snapshot. This page is
updated at least twice daily. Questions
or comments?
Florida: The President has held a 3-5 point lead in
Florida for five consecutive days. It is still in our Toss-Up
category, but we will be watching closely. At the moment, the
Electoral College projection remains 213-169.
Debate: New data shows belief that Bush lost debate
is growing. Limited impact on perceptions of candidate Ideology, but
increased support for finishing Iraq mission. Compare results from
before
and after
debate.
Daily Tracking Polls: Tracking Polls for Florida,
Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Pennsylvania have been
updated for Monday. Next update, Tuesday at 5:00 p.m.
Eastern.
| Rasmussen Reports Top-Lines
(3-Day Rolling Average) |
| |
4-Oct |
3-Oct |
2-Oct |
1-Oct |
30-Sep |
29-Sep |
28-Sep |
27-Sep |
26-Sep |
| Bush |
48.6% |
49.0% |
48.6% |
48.7% |
48.5% |
49.1% |
47.9% |
47.8% |
47.2% |
| Kerry |
46.1% |
45.4% |
45.6% |
45.3% |
46.1% |
45.3% |
46.3% |
46.1% |
46.5% |
Archives: Review Daily Snapshot for yesterday,
October
2, October
1,September.
| Monday, October
04, 2004 |
|
Monday, October
04, 2004 |
| 3-Day Rolling Average |
|
3-Day Rolling Average |
| Ballot |
National |
16-State |
|
Ballot |
GOP |
Dem |
Other |
| Bush |
48.6% |
48.9% |
|
Bush |
86.6% |
17.3% |
42.1% |
| Kerry |
46.1% |
46.2% |
|
Kerry |
11.0% |
77.8% |
47.1% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ballot (with Leaners) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Bush |
49.3% |
49.7% |
|
Bush
Fav |
88.0% |
23.8% |
45.6% |
| Kerry |
47.5% |
47.0% |
|
Unfavorable |
11.7% |
74.0% |
52.2% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Bush Fav |
52.5% |
52.9% |
|
Kerry
Fav |
15.4% |
80.9% |
51.8% |
| Unfavorable |
46.0% |
45.7% |
|
Unfavorable |
83.3% |
16.8% |
45.0% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kerry Fav |
50.1% |
50.6% |
|
Right
Track |
74.0% |
20.0% |
35.7% |
| Unfavorable |
47.8% |
47.4% |
|
Wrong |
22.2% |
76.3% |
58.5% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Right Track |
43.5% |
42.4% |
|
Interest |
7.8 |
7.6 |
7.2 |
| Wrong |
52.3% |
53.1% |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Certain-Bush |
90.6% |
91.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Certain-Kerry |
86.5% |
88.2% |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Interest |
7.6 |
7.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
NOTE: "Interest" refers to interest in the Presidential
campaign. We ask people to rate how closely they are following the
race on a scale from 0 to 9 (with nine meaning they are following
the race closely every day). The numbers are presented as an
average.
"Certain-Bush" and "Certain-Kerry" refers to the percent of
voters for each candidate who are certain of how they will
vote.
| Rasmussen Reports Selected
Data |
| 16-States, 7-Day Rolling Average |
| |
4-Oct |
3-Oct |
2-Oct |
1-Oct |
30-Sep |
29-Sep |
28-Sep |
27-Sep |
26-Sep |
25-Sep |
| Bush |
48.2% |
48.5% |
48.1% |
48.4% |
47.3% |
47.5% |
47.0% |
47.4% |
47.3% |
47.3% |
| Kerry |
46.2% |
45.6% |
46.0% |
45.7% |
46.8% |
46.9% |
47.0% |
46.6% |
46.8% |
46.8% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Bush Fav |
53.1% |
53.4% |
53.2% |
52.7% |
52.4% |
52.3% |
52.0% |
52.2% |
52.3% |
51.9% |
| Unfav |
45.8% |
45.5% |
45.8% |
46.1% |
46.4% |
46.6% |
46.7% |
46.6% |
46.6% |
46.9% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kerry Fav |
49.9% |
49.2% |
49.3% |
49.2% |
49.8% |
49.9% |
50.0% |
49.7% |
49.8% |
49.9% |
| Unfav |
48.4% |
49.0% |
49.2% |
48.9% |
48.7% |
48.6% |
48.0% |
48.3% |
48.3% |
48.2% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Right Track |
42.3% |
42.1% |
42.2% |
41.1% |
42.0% |
42.0% |
41.4% |
41.2% |
41.9% |
41.3% |
| Wrong |
53.9% |
54.0% |
54.0% |
54.8% |
54.6% |
54.7% |
55.4% |
55.2% |
54.6% |
55.1% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Bush Approve |
52.8% |
53.6% |
53.3% |
52.8% |
52.1% |
52.2% |
52.0% |
51.7% |
51.3% |
50.8% |
| Disapprove |
46.7% |
46.0% |
46.3% |
46.7% |
47.6% |
47.5% |
47.6% |
47.9% |
48.2% |
48.5% |
The "16-States" are Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan,
Missouri, Wisconsin, Arizona, Minnesota, Oregon, Iowa, Arkansas,
Nevada, New Mexico, West Virginia, Maine, and New
Hampshire |
