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Welcome |
|
Welcome
to the Rasmussen Reports Daily Snapshot. This page is updated at least
twice daily.
Questions or comments?
Rasmussen on Fox: O'Reilly Factor, tonight, 8:00 p.m. Eastern.
New State Polls: Kerry moves ahead in
Iowa, no change in
Alabama,
Wisconsin. More state
data coming later tonight.
Daily Tracking Polls: Tracking Polls for
Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Pennsylvania have been
updated for Tuesday. Next update, Wednesday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern.
Electoral College:
Still Bush 240 Kerry 194.
We're watching Michigan
to see if it moves to Leans Kerry and
Florida to see if it
shift back to Toss-Up.
|
Rasmussen Reports Top-Lines (3-Day Rolling Average) |
|
|
12-Oct |
11-Oct |
10-Oct |
9-Oct |
8-Oct |
7-Oct |
6-Oct |
5-Oct |
4-Oct |
|
Bush |
47.4% |
49.0% |
49.5% |
49.6% |
48.4% |
47.8% |
47.2% |
47.9% |
48.6% |
|
Kerry |
45.8% |
45.4% |
45.5% |
45.9% |
46.1% |
46.7% |
46.9% |
47.0% |
46.1% |
Archives: Review Daily Snapshot for yesterday, October
10,
October 9, October 8,
October 7,
October 6,
October 5,
October 4,
October 3,
October 2,
October 1,September.
|
Tuesday, October 12, 2004 |
|
Tuesday, October 12, 2004 |
|
3-Day Rolling Average |
|
3-Day Rolling Average |
|
Ballot |
National |
16-State |
|
Ballot |
GOP |
Dem |
Other |
|
Bush |
47.4% |
46.3% |
|
Bush |
86.3% |
17.1% |
41.1% |
|
Kerry |
45.8% |
45.7% |
|
Kerry |
11.0% |
78.9% |
42.7% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ballot (with Leaners) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bush |
48.5% |
47.3% |
|
Bush Fav |
88.1% |
23.1% |
51.5% |
|
Kerry |
47.5% |
47.4% |
|
Unfavorable |
11.8% |
75.1% |
47.1% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bush Fav |
53.1% |
51.8% |
|
Kerry Fav |
15.4% |
80.0% |
50.6% |
|
Unfavorable |
45.8% |
47.4% |
|
Unfavorable |
83.2% |
18.6% |
46.8% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Kerry Fav |
49.9% |
51.8% |
|
Right Track |
74.9% |
17.1% |
35.7% |
|
Unfavorable |
48.4% |
46.6% |
|
Wrong |
21.4% |
80.4% |
59.7% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Right Track |
42.0% |
40.9% |
|
Interest |
7.8 |
7.8 |
7.4 |
|
Wrong |
54.5% |
55.4% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Certain-Bush |
89.8% |
87.8% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Certain-Kerry |
86.2% |
88.8% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest |
7.7 |
7.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
NOTE: "Interest" refers to interest in the Presidential campaign.
We ask people to rate how closely they are following the race on a scale
from 0 to 9 (with nine meaning they are following the race closely every
day). The numbers are presented as an average.
"Certain-Bush" and "Certain-Kerry" refers to the percent of voters
for each candidate who are certain of how they will vote.
|
Rasmussen Reports Selected Data |
|
16-States, 7-Day Rolling Average |
|
|
12-Oct |
11-Oct |
10-Oct |
9-Oct |
8-Oct |
7-Oct |
6-Oct |
5-Oct |
4-Oct |
3-Oct |
|
Bush |
47.4% |
48.0% |
48.1% |
48.5% |
48.4% |
48.5% |
48.0% |
48.3% |
48.2% |
48.5% |
|
Kerry |
46.1% |
46.0% |
46.6% |
46.5% |
46.8% |
46.3% |
46.3% |
46.4% |
46.2% |
45.6% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bush Fav |
52.5% |
52.7% |
52.4% |
52.3% |
52.4% |
52.8% |
51.8% |
52.7% |
53.1% |
53.4% |
|
Unfav |
46.7% |
46.3% |
46.4% |
46.6% |
46.4% |
46.2% |
46.9% |
46.2% |
45.8% |
45.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Kerry Fav |
51.3% |
51.1% |
50.9% |
51.0% |
50.8% |
50.4% |
50.3% |
50.2% |
49.9% |
49.2% |
|
Unfav |
47.2% |
47.4% |
47.4% |
47.5% |
47.5% |
47.9% |
47.8% |
48.2% |
48.4% |
49.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Right Track |
41.3% |
41.5% |
41.5% |
42.1% |
42.0% |
41.9% |
41.7% |
42.0% |
42.3% |
42.1% |
|
Wrong |
54.4% |
54.2% |
54.3% |
53.9% |
53.6% |
53.8% |
54.1% |
54.1% |
53.9% |
54.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bush Approve |
51.6% |
52.2% |
52.5% |
52.2% |
52.6% |
52.8% |
52.0% |
52.6% |
52.8% |
53.6% |
|
Disapprove |
47.9% |
47.2% |
46.9% |
47.3% |
46.9% |
46.5% |
47.5% |
46.9% |
46.7% |
46.0% |
The
"16-States" are Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Missouri,
Wisconsin, Arizona, Minnesota, Oregon, Iowa, Arkansas, Nevada, New Mexico,
West Virginia, Maine, and New Hampshire |
