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Daily Snapshot--Tuesday, October 12

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Welcome

Welcome to the Rasmussen Reports Daily Snapshot. This page is updated at least twice daily. Questions or comments?

Rasmussen on Fox: O'Reilly Factor, tonight, 8:00 p.m. Eastern.

New State Polls: Kerry moves ahead in Iowa, no change in Alabama, Wisconsin. More state data coming later tonight.

Daily Tracking Polls: Tracking Polls for Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Pennsylvania have been updated for Tuesday. Next update, Wednesday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern.

Electoral College: Still Bush 240 Kerry 194. We're watching Michigan to see if it moves to Leans Kerry and Florida to see if it shift back to Toss-Up.

Rasmussen Reports Top-Lines (3-Day Rolling Average)
  12-Oct 11-Oct 10-Oct 9-Oct 8-Oct 7-Oct 6-Oct 5-Oct 4-Oct
Bush 47.4% 49.0% 49.5% 49.6% 48.4% 47.8% 47.2% 47.9% 48.6%
Kerry 45.8% 45.4% 45.5% 45.9% 46.1% 46.7% 46.9% 47.0% 46.1%

Archives:  Review Daily Snapshot for yesterday, October 10, October 9, October 8, October 7, October 6, October 5, October 4, October 3, October 2October 1,September.

Tuesday, October 12, 2004   Tuesday, October 12, 2004
3-Day Rolling Average   3-Day Rolling Average
Ballot National 16-State   Ballot GOP Dem Other
Bush 47.4% 46.3%   Bush 86.3% 17.1% 41.1%
Kerry 45.8% 45.7%   Kerry 11.0% 78.9% 42.7%
               
Ballot (with Leaners)              
Bush 48.5% 47.3%   Bush Fav 88.1% 23.1% 51.5%
Kerry 47.5% 47.4%   Unfavorable 11.8% 75.1% 47.1%
               
Bush Fav 53.1% 51.8%   Kerry Fav 15.4% 80.0% 50.6%
Unfavorable 45.8% 47.4%   Unfavorable 83.2% 18.6% 46.8%
               
Kerry Fav 49.9% 51.8%   Right Track 74.9% 17.1% 35.7%
Unfavorable 48.4% 46.6%   Wrong 21.4% 80.4% 59.7%
               
Right Track 42.0% 40.9%   Interest  7.8 7.8 7.4
Wrong 54.5% 55.4%          
               
Certain-Bush 89.8% 87.8%          
Certain-Kerry 86.2% 88.8%          
               
Interest  7.7 7.6          

NOTE: "Interest" refers to interest in the Presidential campaign. We ask people to rate how closely they are following the race on a scale from 0 to 9 (with nine meaning they are following the race closely every day). The numbers are presented as an average.

"Certain-Bush" and "Certain-Kerry" refers to the percent of voters for each candidate who are certain of how they will vote.

Rasmussen Reports Selected Data
16-States, 7-Day Rolling Average
  12-Oct 11-Oct 10-Oct 9-Oct 8-Oct 7-Oct 6-Oct 5-Oct 4-Oct 3-Oct
Bush 47.4% 48.0% 48.1% 48.5% 48.4% 48.5% 48.0% 48.3% 48.2% 48.5%
Kerry 46.1% 46.0% 46.6% 46.5% 46.8% 46.3% 46.3% 46.4% 46.2% 45.6%
                     
Bush Fav 52.5% 52.7% 52.4% 52.3% 52.4% 52.8% 51.8% 52.7% 53.1% 53.4%
Unfav 46.7% 46.3% 46.4% 46.6% 46.4% 46.2% 46.9% 46.2% 45.8% 45.5%
                     
Kerry Fav 51.3% 51.1% 50.9% 51.0% 50.8% 50.4% 50.3% 50.2% 49.9% 49.2%
Unfav 47.2% 47.4% 47.4% 47.5% 47.5% 47.9% 47.8% 48.2% 48.4% 49.0%
                     
Right Track 41.3% 41.5% 41.5% 42.1% 42.0% 41.9% 41.7% 42.0% 42.3% 42.1%
Wrong 54.4% 54.2% 54.3% 53.9% 53.6% 53.8% 54.1% 54.1% 53.9% 54.0%
                     
Bush Approve 51.6% 52.2% 52.5% 52.2% 52.6% 52.8% 52.0% 52.6% 52.8% 53.6%
Disapprove 47.9% 47.2% 46.9% 47.3% 46.9% 46.5% 47.5% 46.9% 46.7% 46.0%

The "16-States" are Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Missouri, Wisconsin, Arizona, Minnesota, Oregon, Iowa, Arkansas, Nevada, New Mexico, West Virginia, Maine, and New Hampshire

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