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Daily Snapshot--Monday, October 11

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Welcome

Welcome to the Rasmussen Reports Daily Snapshot. This page is updated at least twice daily. Questions or comments?

Daily Tracking Polls: Tracking Polls for Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Pennsylvania have been updated for Monday. Next update, Tuesday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. Electoral College: Bush 240 Kerry 179. Kerry gains ten points on new Maryland data moving the state back to "Leans Kerry."

Labels: Following the second Presidential Debate, the percentage of people who say John Kerry is politically liberal increased to its highest level of the year. Overall,  voters call the second debate a tie. Just 4% say it changed their mind (and the 4% were equally divided between those who now will vote for Bush and Kerry).

Scott's Page comment on the gap between Rasmussen and Zogby polls.

Senate: We'll be doing more Senate updates this week, including South Dakota, Louisiana, and Colorado. South Carolina, DeMint + 6. Georgia: Isakson +12

Rasmussen Reports Top-Lines (3-Day Rolling Average)
  11-Oct 10-Oct 9-Oct 8-Oct 7-Oct 6-Oct 5-Oct 4-Oct 3-Oct
Bush 49.0% 49.5% 49.6% 48.4% 47.8% 47.2% 47.9% 48.6% 49.0%
Kerry 45.4% 45.5% 45.9% 46.1% 46.7% 46.9% 47.0% 46.1% 45.4%

Archives:  Review Daily Snapshot for yesterday, October 9, October 8, October 7, October 6, October 5, October 4, October 3, October 2October 1,September.

Monday, October 11, 2004   Monday, October 11, 2004
3-Day Rolling Average   3-Day Rolling Average
Ballot National 16-State   Ballot GOP Dem Other
Bush 49.0% 47.7%   Bush 86.5% 19.1% 41.8%
Kerry 45.4% 44.6%   Kerry 10.8% 77.3% 44.6%
               
Ballot (with Leaners)              
Bush 49.8% 48.7%   Bush Fav 88.2% 25.0% 50.3%
Kerry 46.8% 46.4%   Unfavorable 11.7% 73.2% 48.3%
               
Bush Fav 54.0% 53.2%   Kerry Fav 15.9% 79.1% 52.4%
Unfavorable 45.0% 45.8%   Unfavorable 82.4% 19.2% 45.8%
               
Kerry Fav 49.8% 51.4%   Right Track 72.5% 17.4% 37.0%
Unfavorable 48.5% 47.0%   Wrong 24.0% 79.6% 59.2%
               
Right Track 42.1% 40.9%   Interest  7.7 7.7 7.4
Wrong 54.5% 55.2%          
               
Certain-Bush 90.0% 89.6%          
Certain-Kerry 86.4% 88.5%          
               
Interest  7.6 7.7          

NOTE: "Interest" refers to interest in the Presidential campaign. We ask people to rate how closely they are following the race on a scale from 0 to 9 (with nine meaning they are following the race closely every day). The numbers are presented as an average.

"Certain-Bush" and "Certain-Kerry" refers to the percent of voters for each candidate who are certain of how they will vote.

Rasmussen Reports Selected Data
16-States, 7-Day Rolling Average
  11-Oct 10-Oct 9-Oct 8-Oct 7-Oct 6-Oct 5-Oct 4-Oct 3-Oct 2-Oct
Bush 48.0% 48.1% 48.5% 48.4% 48.5% 48.0% 48.3% 48.2% 48.5% 48.1%
Kerry 46.0% 46.6% 46.5% 46.8% 46.3% 46.3% 46.4% 46.2% 45.6% 46.0%
                     
Bush Fav 52.7% 52.4% 52.3% 52.4% 52.8% 51.8% 52.7% 53.1% 53.4% 53.2%
Unfav 46.3% 46.4% 46.6% 46.4% 46.2% 46.9% 46.2% 45.8% 45.5% 45.8%
                     
Kerry Fav 51.1% 50.9% 51.0% 50.8% 50.4% 50.3% 50.2% 49.9% 49.2% 49.3%
Unfav 47.4% 47.4% 47.5% 47.5% 47.9% 47.8% 48.2% 48.4% 49.0% 49.2%
                     
Right Track 41.5% 41.5% 42.1% 42.0% 41.9% 41.7% 42.0% 42.3% 42.1% 42.2%
Wrong 54.2% 54.3% 53.9% 53.6% 53.8% 54.1% 54.1% 53.9% 54.0% 54.0%
                     
Bush Approve 52.2% 52.5% 52.2% 52.6% 52.8% 52.0% 52.6% 52.8% 53.6% 53.3%
Disapprove 47.2% 46.9% 47.3% 46.9% 46.5% 47.5% 46.9% 46.7% 46.0% 46.3%

The "16-States" are Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Missouri, Wisconsin, Arizona, Minnesota, Oregon, Iowa, Arkansas, Nevada, New Mexico, West Virginia, Maine, and New Hampshire

Copyright 2005 Rasmussen Reports