RR Presidential Track

Daily Tracking Polls: Tracking Polls for Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Pennsylvania have been updated for Monday. Next update, Tuesday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. Electoral College: Bush 240 Kerry 179. Kerry gains ten points on new Maryland data moving the state back to "Leans Kerry."

Labels: Following the second Presidential Debate, the percentage of people who say John Kerry is politically liberal increased to its highest level of the year. Overall, voters call the second debate a tie. Just 4% say it changed their mind (and the 4% were equally divided between those who now will vote for Bush and Kerry).

Scott's Page comment on the gap between Rasmussen and Zogby polls.

Senate: We'll be doing more Senate updates this week, including South Dakota, Louisiana, and Colorado. South Carolina, DeMint + 6. Georgia: Isakson +12

Rasmussen Reports Top-Lines (3-Day Rolling Average)
	11-Oct	10-Oct	9-Oct	8-Oct	7-Oct	6-Oct	5-Oct	4-Oct	3-Oct
Bush	49.0%	49.5%	49.6%	48.4%	47.8%	47.2%	47.9%	48.6%	49.0%
Kerry	45.4%	45.5%	45.9%	46.1%	46.7%	46.9%	47.0%	46.1%	45.4%

Archives: Review Daily Snapshot for yesterday, October 9, October 8, October 7, October 6, October 5, October 4, October 3, October 2, October 1,September.

Monday, October 11, 2004			Monday, October 11, 2004
3-Day Rolling Average			3-Day Rolling Average
Ballot	National	16-State	Ballot	GOP	Dem	Other
Bush	49.0%	47.7%	Bush	86.5%	19.1%	41.8%
Kerry	45.4%	44.6%	Kerry	10.8%	77.3%	44.6%

Ballot (with Leaners)
Bush	49.8%	48.7%	Bush Fav	88.2%	25.0%	50.3%
Kerry	46.8%	46.4%	Unfavorable	11.7%	73.2%	48.3%

Bush Fav	54.0%	53.2%	Kerry Fav	15.9%	79.1%	52.4%
Unfavorable	45.0%	45.8%	Unfavorable	82.4%	19.2%	45.8%

Kerry Fav	49.8%	51.4%	Right Track	72.5%	17.4%	37.0%
Unfavorable	48.5%	47.0%	Wrong	24.0%	79.6%	59.2%

Right Track	42.1%	40.9%	Interest	7.7	7.7	7.4
Wrong	54.5%	55.2%

Certain-Bush	90.0%	89.6%
Certain-Kerry	86.4%	88.5%

Interest	7.6	7.7

NOTE: "Interest" refers to interest in the Presidential campaign. We ask people to rate how closely they are following the race on a scale from 0 to 9 (with nine meaning they are following the race closely every day). The numbers are presented as an average.

"Certain-Bush" and "Certain-Kerry" refers to the percent of voters for each candidate who are certain of how they will vote.

Rasmussen Reports Selected Data
16-States, 7-Day Rolling Average
	11-Oct	10-Oct	9-Oct	8-Oct	7-Oct	6-Oct	5-Oct	4-Oct	3-Oct	2-Oct
Bush	48.0%	48.1%	48.5%	48.4%	48.5%	48.0%	48.3%	48.2%	48.5%	48.1%
Kerry	46.0%	46.6%	46.5%	46.8%	46.3%	46.3%	46.4%	46.2%	45.6%	46.0%

Bush Fav	52.7%	52.4%	52.3%	52.4%	52.8%	51.8%	52.7%	53.1%	53.4%	53.2%
Unfav	46.3%	46.4%	46.6%	46.4%	46.2%	46.9%	46.2%	45.8%	45.5%	45.8%

Kerry Fav	51.1%	50.9%	51.0%	50.8%	50.4%	50.3%	50.2%	49.9%	49.2%	49.3%
Unfav	47.4%	47.4%	47.5%	47.5%	47.9%	47.8%	48.2%	48.4%	49.0%	49.2%

Right Track	41.5%	41.5%	42.1%	42.0%	41.9%	41.7%	42.0%	42.3%	42.1%	42.2%
Wrong	54.2%	54.3%	53.9%	53.6%	53.8%	54.1%	54.1%	53.9%	54.0%	54.0%

Bush Approve	52.2%	52.5%	52.2%	52.6%	52.8%	52.0%	52.6%	52.8%	53.6%	53.3%
Disapprove	47.2%	46.9%	47.3%	46.9%	46.5%	47.5%	46.9%	46.7%	46.0%	46.3%

The "16-States" are Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Missouri, Wisconsin, Arizona, Minnesota, Oregon, Iowa, Arkansas, Nevada, New Mexico, West Virginia, Maine, and New Hampshire