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Welcome |
|
Welcome
to the Rasmussen Reports Daily Snapshot. This page is updated at least
twice daily.
Questions or comments?
Scott's Page
comment on the gap between Rasmussen and Zogby polls.
Daily Tracking Polls: Tracking Polls for
Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Pennsylvania have been
updated for Sunday. Next update, Monday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern.
Debate II--Voters
call it a tie. Just 4% say it changed their mind (and the 4% were
equally divided between those who now will vote for Bush and Kerry).
Electoral College: Bush 240 Kerry 179.
Kerry gains ten points on new
Maryland data moving
the state back to "Leans Kerry."
Senate: We'll be doing more Senate
updates this week, including South Dakota and Colorado. South Carolina,
DeMint
+ 6. Georgia:
Isakson +12
|
Rasmussen Reports Top-Lines (3-Day Rolling Average) |
|
|
10-Oct |
9-Oct |
8-Oct |
7-Oct |
6-Oct |
5-Oct |
4-Oct |
3-Oct |
2-Oct |
|
Bush |
49.5% |
49.6% |
48.4% |
47.8% |
47.2% |
47.9% |
48.6% |
49.0% |
48.6% |
|
Kerry |
45.5% |
45.9% |
46.1% |
46.7% |
46.9% |
47.0% |
46.1% |
45.4% |
45.6% |
Archives: Review Daily Snapshot for
October 8,
October 7,
October 6,
October 5,
October 4,
October 3,
October 2,
October 1,September.
|
Sunday, October 10, 2004 |
|
Sunday, October 10, 2004 |
|
3-Day Rolling Average |
|
3-Day Rolling Average |
|
Ballot |
National |
16-State |
|
Ballot |
GOP |
Dem |
Other |
|
Bush |
49.5% |
48.8% |
|
Bush |
86.1% |
19.6% |
44.2% |
|
Kerry |
45.5% |
45.3% |
|
Kerry |
12.0% |
76.4% |
44.4% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ballot (with Leaners) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bush |
50.4% |
49.2% |
|
Bush Fav |
87.5% |
25.6% |
51.3% |
|
Kerry |
46.7% |
46.7% |
|
Unfavorable |
12.4% |
72.9% |
47.3% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bush Fav |
54.1% |
54.1% |
|
Kerry Fav |
16.3% |
79.3% |
51.3% |
|
Unfavorable |
44.9% |
44.5% |
|
Unfavorable |
82.2% |
19.2% |
47.2% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Kerry Fav |
49.9% |
50.0% |
|
Right Track |
71.9% |
18.1% |
37.0% |
|
Unfavorable |
48.6% |
48.1% |
|
Wrong |
24.5% |
78.4% |
59.1% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Right Track |
42.1% |
41.9% |
|
Interest |
7.8 |
7.7 |
7.5 |
|
Wrong |
54.3% |
53.8% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Certain-Bush |
90.9% |
93.2% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Certain-Kerry |
86.8% |
87.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest |
7.7 |
7.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
NOTE: "Interest" refers to interest in the Presidential campaign.
We ask people to rate how closely they are following the race on a scale
from 0 to 9 (with nine meaning they are following the race closely every
day). The numbers are presented as an average.
"Certain-Bush" and "Certain-Kerry" refers to the percent of voters
for each candidate who are certain of how they will vote.
|
Rasmussen Reports Selected Data |
|
16-States, 7-Day Rolling Average |
|
|
10-Oct |
9-Oct |
8-Oct |
7-Oct |
6-Oct |
5-Oct |
4-Oct |
3-Oct |
2-Oct |
1-Oct |
|
Bush |
48.1% |
48.5% |
48.4% |
48.5% |
48.0% |
48.3% |
48.2% |
48.5% |
48.1% |
48.4% |
|
Kerry |
46.6% |
46.5% |
46.8% |
46.3% |
46.3% |
46.4% |
46.2% |
45.6% |
46.0% |
45.7% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bush Fav |
52.4% |
52.3% |
52.4% |
52.8% |
51.8% |
52.7% |
53.1% |
53.4% |
53.2% |
52.7% |
|
Unfav |
46.4% |
46.6% |
46.4% |
46.2% |
46.9% |
46.2% |
45.8% |
45.5% |
45.8% |
46.1% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Kerry Fav |
50.9% |
51.0% |
50.8% |
50.4% |
50.3% |
50.2% |
49.9% |
49.2% |
49.3% |
49.2% |
|
Unfav |
47.4% |
47.5% |
47.5% |
47.9% |
47.8% |
48.2% |
48.4% |
49.0% |
49.2% |
48.9% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Right Track |
41.5% |
42.1% |
42.0% |
41.9% |
41.7% |
42.0% |
42.3% |
42.1% |
42.2% |
41.1% |
|
Wrong |
54.3% |
53.9% |
53.6% |
53.8% |
54.1% |
54.1% |
53.9% |
54.0% |
54.0% |
54.8% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bush Approve |
52.5% |
52.2% |
52.6% |
52.8% |
52.0% |
52.6% |
52.8% |
53.6% |
53.3% |
52.8% |
|
Disapprove |
46.9% |
47.3% |
46.9% |
46.5% |
47.5% |
46.9% |
46.7% |
46.0% |
46.3% |
46.7% |
The
"16-States" are Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Missouri,
Wisconsin, Arizona, Minnesota, Oregon, Iowa, Arkansas, Nevada, New Mexico,
West Virginia, Maine, and New Hampshire |