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Daily Snapshot--Sunday, October 10

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Welcome

Welcome to the Rasmussen Reports Daily Snapshot. This page is updated at least twice daily. Questions or comments?

Scott's Page comment on the gap between Rasmussen and Zogby polls.

Daily Tracking Polls: Tracking Polls for Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Pennsylvania have been updated for Sunday. Next update, Monday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern.

Debate II--Voters call it a tie. Just 4% say it changed their mind (and the 4% were equally divided between those who now will vote for Bush and Kerry).

Electoral College: Bush 240 Kerry 179. Kerry gains ten points on new Maryland data moving the state back to "Leans Kerry." 

Senate: We'll be doing more Senate updates this week, including South Dakota and Colorado. South Carolina, DeMint + 6. Georgia: Isakson +12

Rasmussen Reports Top-Lines (3-Day Rolling Average)
  10-Oct 9-Oct 8-Oct 7-Oct 6-Oct 5-Oct 4-Oct 3-Oct 2-Oct
Bush 49.5% 49.6% 48.4% 47.8% 47.2% 47.9% 48.6% 49.0% 48.6%
Kerry 45.5% 45.9% 46.1% 46.7% 46.9% 47.0% 46.1% 45.4% 45.6%

Archives:  Review Daily Snapshot for  October 8, October 7, October 6, October 5, October 4, October 3, October 2October 1,September.

Sunday, October 10, 2004   Sunday, October 10, 2004
3-Day Rolling Average   3-Day Rolling Average
Ballot National 16-State   Ballot GOP Dem Other
Bush 49.5% 48.8%   Bush 86.1% 19.6% 44.2%
Kerry 45.5% 45.3%   Kerry 12.0% 76.4% 44.4%
               
Ballot (with Leaners)              
Bush 50.4% 49.2%   Bush Fav 87.5% 25.6% 51.3%
Kerry 46.7% 46.7%   Unfavorable 12.4% 72.9% 47.3%
               
Bush Fav 54.1% 54.1%   Kerry Fav 16.3% 79.3% 51.3%
Unfavorable 44.9% 44.5%   Unfavorable 82.2% 19.2% 47.2%
               
Kerry Fav 49.9% 50.0%   Right Track 71.9% 18.1% 37.0%
Unfavorable 48.6% 48.1%   Wrong 24.5% 78.4% 59.1%
               
Right Track 42.1% 41.9%   Interest  7.8 7.7 7.5
Wrong 54.3% 53.8%          
               
Certain-Bush 90.9% 93.2%          
Certain-Kerry 86.8% 87.5%          
               
Interest  7.7 7.6          

NOTE: "Interest" refers to interest in the Presidential campaign. We ask people to rate how closely they are following the race on a scale from 0 to 9 (with nine meaning they are following the race closely every day). The numbers are presented as an average.

"Certain-Bush" and "Certain-Kerry" refers to the percent of voters for each candidate who are certain of how they will vote.

Rasmussen Reports Selected Data
16-States, 7-Day Rolling Average
  10-Oct 9-Oct 8-Oct 7-Oct 6-Oct 5-Oct 4-Oct 3-Oct 2-Oct 1-Oct
Bush 48.1% 48.5% 48.4% 48.5% 48.0% 48.3% 48.2% 48.5% 48.1% 48.4%
Kerry 46.6% 46.5% 46.8% 46.3% 46.3% 46.4% 46.2% 45.6% 46.0% 45.7%
                     
Bush Fav 52.4% 52.3% 52.4% 52.8% 51.8% 52.7% 53.1% 53.4% 53.2% 52.7%
Unfav 46.4% 46.6% 46.4% 46.2% 46.9% 46.2% 45.8% 45.5% 45.8% 46.1%
                     
Kerry Fav 50.9% 51.0% 50.8% 50.4% 50.3% 50.2% 49.9% 49.2% 49.3% 49.2%
Unfav 47.4% 47.5% 47.5% 47.9% 47.8% 48.2% 48.4% 49.0% 49.2% 48.9%
                     
Right Track 41.5% 42.1% 42.0% 41.9% 41.7% 42.0% 42.3% 42.1% 42.2% 41.1%
Wrong 54.3% 53.9% 53.6% 53.8% 54.1% 54.1% 53.9% 54.0% 54.0% 54.8%
                     
Bush Approve 52.5% 52.2% 52.6% 52.8% 52.0% 52.6% 52.8% 53.6% 53.3% 52.8%
Disapprove 46.9% 47.3% 46.9% 46.5% 47.5% 46.9% 46.7% 46.0% 46.3% 46.7%

The "16-States" are Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Missouri, Wisconsin, Arizona, Minnesota, Oregon, Iowa, Arkansas, Nevada, New Mexico, West Virginia, Maine, and New Hampshire

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