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Daily Snapshot--Friday, October 1

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Welcome

Welcome to the Rasmussen Reports Daily Snapshot. This page is updated at least twice daily. Questions or comments?

New State Polls: South Dakota, Georgia, Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Tennessee, and North Carolina. Coming this weekend... Senate results for Oklahoma, Alaska, Colorado. Coming Next Week... Senate results for Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Louisiana. 

Daily Tracking Polls: Tracking Polls for Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Pennsylvania have been updated for Friday. Next update, Saturday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern.

Debate: Everybody wants to know who "won" the debate. The answer won't really become clear for a few more days. This is true because of two simple facts. First, for the candidates, the only meaningful definition of winning is if the debate moved voters in your direction. Second, we won't know if voters were moved until we have a few days of post-debate polling under our belt. Some analysts believe it takes a full week before the change can accurately be measured.

Rasmussen Reports Top-Lines (3-Day Rolling Average)
  1-Oct 30-Sep 29-Sep 28-Sep 27-Sep 26-Sep 25-Sep 24-Sep 23-Sep
Bush 48.7% 48.5% 49.1% 47.9% 47.8% 47.2% 47.9% 47.4% 49.0%
Kerry 45.3% 46.1% 45.3% 46.3% 46.1% 46.5% 46.3% 46.5% 45.4%

Archives:  Review Daily Snapshot for yesterdaySept 28, Sept 27, Sept 26, Sept 25, Sept 24, Sept 23, Sept 22, Sept 21, Sept 20, Sept 19, Sept 18, Sept 17, Sept 16, Sept 15, Sept 14, Sept 13, Sept 12, Sept 11, Sept 10, Sept 9, Sept 8 Sept 7, Sept 6, Sept 5, Sept 4, Sept 3, Sept 2, or Sept 1.

Friday, October 01, 2004   Friday, October 01, 2004
3-Day Rolling Average   3-Day Rolling Average
Ballot National 16-State   Ballot GOP Dem Other
Bush 48.7% 48.6%   Bush 86.8% 16.5% 44.3%
Kerry 45.3% 45.3%   Kerry 10.2% 78.8% 42.6%
               
Ballot (with Leaners)              
Bush 49.6% 49.3%   Bush Fav 87.7% 21.7% 50.2%
Kerry 47.0% 46.8%   Unfavorable 12.1% 76.8% 48.2%
               
Bush Fav 52.5% 53.9%   Kerry Fav 13.3% 80.7% 48.4%
Unfavorable 46.4% 45.2%   Unfavorable 84.9% 17.5% 49.0%
               
Kerry Fav 48.5% 48.5%   Right Track 70.5% 16.3% 37.5%
Unfavorable 49.6% 50.1%   Wrong 24.4% 81.3% 57.9%
               
Right Track 41.1% 42.9%   Interest  7.6 7.4 7.1
Wrong 55.0% 53.5%          
               
Certain-Bush 89.4% 92.4%          
Certain-Kerry 87.4% 83.4%          
               
Interest  7.4 7.4          

NOTE: "Interest" refers to interest in the Presidential campaign. We ask people to rate how closely they are following the race on a scale from 0 to 9 (with nine meaning they are following the race closely every day). The numbers are presented as an average.

"Certain-Bush" and "Certain-Kerry" refers to the percent of voters for each candidate who are certain of how they will vote.

Rasmussen Reports Selected Data
16-States, 7-Day Rolling Average
  1-Oct 30-Sep 29-Sep 28-Sep 27-Sep 26-Sep 25-Sep 24-Sep 23-Sep 22-Sep
Bush 48.4% 47.3% 47.5% 47.0% 47.4% 47.3% 47.3% 46.8% 46.9% 46.9%
Kerry 45.7% 46.8% 46.9% 47.0% 46.6% 46.8% 46.8% 47.0% 46.9% 46.5%
                     
Bush Fav 52.7% 52.4% 52.3% 52.0% 52.2% 52.3% 51.9% 51.2% 51.4% 51.6%
Unfav 46.1% 46.4% 46.6% 46.7% 46.6% 46.6% 46.9% 47.8% 47.5% 47.2%
                     
Kerry Fav 49.2% 49.8% 49.9% 50.0% 49.7% 49.8% 49.9% 50.1% 50.1% 49.5%
Unfav 48.9% 48.7% 48.6% 48.0% 48.3% 48.3% 48.2% 48.2% 48.1% 48.8%
                     
Right Track 41.1% 42.0% 42.0% 41.4% 41.2% 41.9% 41.3% 40.3% 40.6% 40.5%
Wrong 54.8% 54.6% 54.7% 55.4% 55.2% 54.6% 55.1% 56.0% 55.5% 55.3%
                     
Bush Approve 52.8% 52.1% 52.2% 52.0% 51.7% 51.3% 50.8% 50.4% 50.8% 50.7%
Disapprove 46.7% 47.6% 47.5% 47.6% 47.9% 48.2% 48.5% 49.0% 48.5% 48.5%

The "16-States" are Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Missouri, Wisconsin, Arizona, Minnesota, Oregon, Iowa, Arkansas, Nevada, New Mexico, West Virginia, Maine, and New Hampshire

Copyright 2005 Rasmussen Reports