RR Presidential Track

New State Polls: South Dakota, Georgia, Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Tennessee, and North Carolina. Coming this weekend... Senate results for Oklahoma, Alaska, Colorado. Coming Next Week... Senate results for Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Louisiana.

Daily Tracking Polls: Tracking Polls for Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Pennsylvania have been updated for Friday. Next update, Saturday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern.

Debate: Everybody wants to know who "won" the debate. The answer won't really become clear for a few more days. This is true because of two simple facts. First, for the candidates, the only meaningful definition of winning is if the debate moved voters in your direction. Second, we won't know if voters were moved until we have a few days of post-debate polling under our belt. Some analysts believe it takes a full week before the change can accurately be measured.

Rasmussen Reports Top-Lines (3-Day Rolling Average)
	1-Oct	30-Sep	29-Sep	28-Sep	27-Sep	26-Sep	25-Sep	24-Sep	23-Sep
Bush	48.7%	48.5%	49.1%	47.9%	47.8%	47.2%	47.9%	47.4%	49.0%
Kerry	45.3%	46.1%	45.3%	46.3%	46.1%	46.5%	46.3%	46.5%	45.4%

Archives: Review Daily Snapshot for yesterday, Sept 28, Sept 27, Sept 26, Sept 25, Sept 24, Sept 23, Sept 22, Sept 21, Sept 20, Sept 19, Sept 18, Sept 17, Sept 16, Sept 15, Sept 14, Sept 13, Sept 12, Sept 11, Sept 10, Sept 9, Sept 8 Sept 7, Sept 6, Sept 5, Sept 4, Sept 3, Sept 2, or Sept 1.

Friday, October 01, 2004			Friday, October 01, 2004
3-Day Rolling Average			3-Day Rolling Average
Ballot	National	16-State	Ballot	GOP	Dem	Other
Bush	48.7%	48.6%	Bush	86.8%	16.5%	44.3%
Kerry	45.3%	45.3%	Kerry	10.2%	78.8%	42.6%

Ballot (with Leaners)
Bush	49.6%	49.3%	Bush Fav	87.7%	21.7%	50.2%
Kerry	47.0%	46.8%	Unfavorable	12.1%	76.8%	48.2%

Bush Fav	52.5%	53.9%	Kerry Fav	13.3%	80.7%	48.4%
Unfavorable	46.4%	45.2%	Unfavorable	84.9%	17.5%	49.0%

Kerry Fav	48.5%	48.5%	Right Track	70.5%	16.3%	37.5%
Unfavorable	49.6%	50.1%	Wrong	24.4%	81.3%	57.9%

Right Track	41.1%	42.9%	Interest	7.6	7.4	7.1
Wrong	55.0%	53.5%

Certain-Bush	89.4%	92.4%
Certain-Kerry	87.4%	83.4%

Interest	7.4	7.4

NOTE: "Interest" refers to interest in the Presidential campaign. We ask people to rate how closely they are following the race on a scale from 0 to 9 (with nine meaning they are following the race closely every day). The numbers are presented as an average.

"Certain-Bush" and "Certain-Kerry" refers to the percent of voters for each candidate who are certain of how they will vote.

Rasmussen Reports Selected Data
16-States, 7-Day Rolling Average
	1-Oct	30-Sep	29-Sep	28-Sep	27-Sep	26-Sep	25-Sep	24-Sep	23-Sep	22-Sep
Bush	48.4%	47.3%	47.5%	47.0%	47.4%	47.3%	47.3%	46.8%	46.9%	46.9%
Kerry	45.7%	46.8%	46.9%	47.0%	46.6%	46.8%	46.8%	47.0%	46.9%	46.5%

Bush Fav	52.7%	52.4%	52.3%	52.0%	52.2%	52.3%	51.9%	51.2%	51.4%	51.6%
Unfav	46.1%	46.4%	46.6%	46.7%	46.6%	46.6%	46.9%	47.8%	47.5%	47.2%

Kerry Fav	49.2%	49.8%	49.9%	50.0%	49.7%	49.8%	49.9%	50.1%	50.1%	49.5%
Unfav	48.9%	48.7%	48.6%	48.0%	48.3%	48.3%	48.2%	48.2%	48.1%	48.8%

Right Track	41.1%	42.0%	42.0%	41.4%	41.2%	41.9%	41.3%	40.3%	40.6%	40.5%
Wrong	54.8%	54.6%	54.7%	55.4%	55.2%	54.6%	55.1%	56.0%	55.5%	55.3%

Bush Approve	52.8%	52.1%	52.2%	52.0%	51.7%	51.3%	50.8%	50.4%	50.8%	50.7%
Disapprove	46.7%	47.6%	47.5%	47.6%	47.9%	48.2%	48.5%	49.0%	48.5%	48.5%

The "16-States" are Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Missouri, Wisconsin, Arizona, Minnesota, Oregon, Iowa, Arkansas, Nevada, New Mexico, West Virginia, Maine, and New Hampshire