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Welcome |
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Welcome
to the Rasmussen Reports Daily Snapshot. Questions
or comments?
FINAL POPULAR VOTE PROJECTION: Bush 50.2% Kerry 48.5% Other
1.3%
FINAL STATE TRACKING POLL UPDATE:
Florida,
Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Pennsylvania
State Polls:
Oregon,
South
Carolina, Virginia,
Washington, New
Jersey, North
Carolina, Missouri,
Maryland,
Alabama,
California,
Georgia,
Illinois,
Wisconsin,
Iowa,
and New
York Senate
Polling Summary.
Electoral College:
Bush 222 Kerry 186. See
Viewers Guide.
Rasmussen on BBC: Tuesday night, Election Night, 10:00 p.m.
Eastern. Rasmussen on Fox: Wednesday--O'Reilly Factor
(8:00 p.m. Eastern).
Renewals: For our Election 2004 Members, it's time to renew
your Membership. Politics and news will continue after Election Day...
our daily polling will continue as well.
NOTE: The numbers below reflect Tracking Poll
data without leaners and with undecided voters. They are based upon data
released Monday and include interviews completed through Sunday night.
Undecideds are not
included in our final projection. FINAL: Bush 50.2% Kerry 48.5%
|
Rasmussen Reports Top-Lines (3-Day Rolling Average) |
|
|
1-Nov |
31-Oct |
30-Oct |
29-Oct |
28-Oct |
27-Oct |
26-Oct |
25-Oct |
24-Oct |
23-Oct |
|
Bush |
48.8% |
48.1% |
47.9% |
48.7% |
48.9% |
48.8% |
47.8% |
46.4% |
47.6% |
48.0% |
|
Kerry |
47.4% |
47.1% |
47.1% |
46.7% |
46.9% |
47.0% |
47.8% |
48.4% |
47.2% |
46.7% |
|
Monday, November 01, 2004 |
|
Monday, November 01, 2004 |
|
3-Day Rolling Average |
|
3-Day Rolling Average |
|
Ballot |
National |
16-State |
|
Ballot |
GOP |
Dem |
Other |
|
Bush |
48.8% |
49.2% |
|
Bush |
89.3% |
14.8% |
43.8% |
|
Kerry |
47.4% |
47.0% |
|
Kerry |
9.2% |
83.3% |
46.3% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ballot (with Leaners) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bush |
49.4% |
50.3% |
|
Bush Fav |
90.1% |
20.1% |
49.3% |
|
Kerry |
48.8% |
48.0% |
|
Unfavorable |
9.6% |
78.9% |
50.3% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bush Fav |
52.5% |
53.4% |
|
Kerry Fav |
12.4% |
84.4% |
53.7% |
|
Unfavorable |
46.9% |
45.8% |
|
Unfavorable |
86.8% |
14.6% |
44.1% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Kerry Fav |
50.9% |
50.1% |
|
Right Track |
78.6% |
14.0% |
37.9% |
|
Unfavorable |
47.9% |
48.5% |
|
Wrong |
18.1% |
82.6% |
58.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Right Track |
43.1% |
44.8% |
|
Interest |
8.0 |
8.0 |
7.6 |
|
Wrong |
53.3% |
50.7% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Certain-Bush |
94.0% |
94.1% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Certain-Kerry |
93.7% |
91.6% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest |
7.9 |
7.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
NOTE: "Interest" refers to interest in the Presidential campaign.
We ask people to rate how closely they are following the race on a scale
from 0 to 9 (with nine meaning they are following the race closely every
day). The numbers are presented as an average.
"Certain-Bush" and "Certain-Kerry" refers to the percent of voters
for each candidate who are certain of how they will vote.
|
Rasmussen Reports Selected Data |
|
16-States, 7-Day Rolling Average |
|
|
1-Nov |
31-Oct |
30-Oct |
29-Oct |
28-Oct |
27-Oct |
26-Oct |
25-Oct |
24-Oct |
|
Bush |
47.7% |
47.5% |
47.2% |
47.2% |
48.0% |
47.8% |
48.4% |
47.9% |
47.4% |
|
Kerry |
47.9% |
48.2% |
48.3% |
48.1% |
47.5% |
47.8% |
47.4% |
47.6% |
47.9% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bush Fav |
51.5% |
51.3% |
51.0% |
51.3% |
52.0% |
51.8% |
52.5% |
52.0% |
51.4% |
|
Unfav |
47.5% |
47.6% |
48.0% |
47.7% |
47.1% |
47.4% |
46.8% |
47.3% |
48.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Kerry Fav |
50.9% |
50.8% |
50.9% |
50.5% |
51.1% |
51.4% |
49.7% |
49.7% |
50.4% |
|
Unfav |
47.6% |
47.9% |
47.8% |
48.1% |
48.7% |
48.5% |
49.4% |
49.4% |
48.6% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Right Track |
42.6% |
42.3% |
41.9% |
42.4% |
43.3% |
42.7% |
43.3% |
43.1% |
42.6% |
|
Wrong |
53.3% |
53.9% |
54.3% |
54.1% |
53.6% |
54.1% |
53.7% |
53.7% |
54.2% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bush Approve |
52.0% |
51.8% |
51.2% |
51.4% |
52.3% |
52.0% |
52.6% |
52.2% |
51.8% |
|
Disapprove |
47.4% |
47.7% |
48.4% |
48.3% |
47.4% |
47.7% |
47.1% |
47.4% |
47.8% |
The
"16-States" are Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Missouri,
Wisconsin, Arizona, Minnesota, Oregon, Iowa, Arkansas, Nevada, New Mexico,
West Virginia, Maine, and New
Hampshire
Archives: Review Daily Snapshot for
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