PENNSYLVANIA SURVEY of 500 likely voters

Thursday, October 5, 2006

Toplines

Crosstabs for Ballot Questions

Crosstabs for Other Questions

Crosstabs for Vote For or Against

Previous Pennsylvania Survey

Daily Snapshot

1* If the election for the United States Senate were held today would you vote for Republican Rick Santorum or for Democrat Bob Casey, Jr?

37% Santorum

50% Casey

                                  6% some other candidate

                                  7% not sure

WITH LEANERS

39% Santorum

52% Casey           

                                  4% some other candidate

                  5% not sure

BREAKDOWN

39% Total Santorum

                29%        Certain Santorum

                  8%        Santorum

                  2%        Lean Santorum

52% Total Casey

                38%        Certain Casey

                12%        Casey

                  2%        Lean Casey

                  4% Some Other Candidate

                  5% Not Sure

2* Is your vote primarily a vote for a candidate or against his opponent?

                Santorum voters

77% for Santorum

15% against Casey

  8% not sure

Casey voters

31% for Casey

60% against Santorum

  9% not sure

3* Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of:

4* Okay… I’m going to read you a short list of issues in the news today. For each, please let me know how important it will be in terms of how you will vote this November—first—the economy.

64% very important

30% somewhat important

  4% not very important

  1% not at all important

  1% not sure

5* Next… the national security issues like the War in Iraq and the War on Terror…

                77% very important

16% somewhat important

  3% not very important

  4% not at all important

  1% not sure

6* Okay… cultural issues like abortion, same sex marriage, and family values

44% very important

30% somewhat important

19% not very important

  6% not at all important

  1% not sure

7* Fine… domestic issues like education, health care, and social security

66% very important

27% somewhat important

  6% not very important

  1% not at all important

  0% not sure

8* Great… what about immigration

46% very important

32% somewhat important

16% not very important

  5% not at all important

  1% not sure

9* Last one… reigning in government corruption…

72% very important

18% somewhat important

  7% not very important

  1% not at all important

  3% not sure

10* Would you ever consider voting for a candidate who said he would raise taxes?

 

                40% yes

                37% no

                23% not sure

11* Would you ever consider voting for a candidate who said he would consider changes to Social Security?

                46% yes

                29% no

                25% not sure

12* Should all American troops in Iraq be brought home within a year?

                                52% yes

                32% no

                16% not sure

                13* Finally, suppose that your vote determined which political party wins control of the United States Senate this year.  Would you vote for the Republican Party or the Democratic Party?

                                40% Republican

                                50% Democratic

                                10% not sure

14* How would you rate the job George W. Bush has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

                                28% strongly approve

                                16% somewhat approve

                                11% somewhat disapprove

                                44% strongly disapprove

                                  1% not sure

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.