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MONTANA SURVEY of 500 likely voters

Thursday, October 26, 2006

Toplines

Crosstabs for Ballot Questions

Crosstabs for Other Questions

Crosstabs for Vote For or Against

Previous Montana Survey

Daily Snapshot

  

1* If the election for the United States Senate were held today, would you vote for Republican Conrad Burns or for Democrat Jon Tester?

 

                47% Burns

51% Tester           

                                  1% some other candidate

                                  2% not sure

 

WITH LEANERS

 

48% Burns

51% Tester           

                                  0% some other candidate

                  1% not sure

 

BREAKDOWN

 

48% Total Burns

                43% Certain Burns

                  4% Burns

                  1% Lean Burns

 

51% Total Tester

                46% Certain Tester

                  4% Tester

                  1% Lean Tester

 

                  0% Some Other Candidate

                  1% Not Sure

 

2* Is your vote primarily a vote for a candidate or against his opponent?

 

                Burns voters

67% for Burns

32% against Tester

  1% not sure

               

Tester voters

52% for Tester

43% against Burns

  5% not sure

 

3* Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of:

 

 

Burns

Tester

Very favorable

24%

28%

Somewhat favorable

24%

26%

Somewhat unfavorable

12%

17%

Very unfavorable

39%

28%

Not sure

  1%

  1%

 

4* Suppose that your vote determined which political party wins control of the United States Senate this year.  Would you vote for the Republican Party or the Democratic Party?

 

50% Republican

47% Democratic

  3% mot sure

 

5* How would you rate the way things are going in Iraq these days…excellent, good, fair or poor?

 

  6% excellent

20% good

24% fair

50% poor

  1% not sure

 

6* Generally speaking how would you rate the U.S Economy these days…excellent, good, fair or poor?

 

20% excellent

30% good

36% fair

13% poor

  0% not sure

 

7* Is the War in Iraq part of the War on Terror or is it a distraction from the War on Terror?

 

48% Part of War on Terror

40% distraction

12% not sure

 

8* Which political party do you trust more to handle the War in Iraq-Republicans or Democrats?

 

51% Republicans

40% Democrats

  9% not sure

 

9* Which political party do you trust more to handle the Economy-Republicans or Democrats?

 

48% Republicans

45% Democrats

  7% not sure

 

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.