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MONTANA SURVEY of 500 likely voters

Wednesday, October 18, 2006

Toplines

Crosstabs for Ballot Questions

Previous Montana Survey

Daily Snapshot

 

1* If the election for the United States Senate were held today, would you vote for Republican Conrad Burns or for Democrat Jon Tester?

 

                46% Burns

48% Tester           

                                  2% some other candidate

                                  4% not sure

 

WITH LEANERS

 

46% Burns

49% Tester           

                                  1% some other candidate

                  4% not sure

 

BREAKDOWN

 

46% Total Burns

                40%        Certain Burns

                  6%        Burns

                  0%        Lean Burns

 

49% Total Tester

                34%        Certain Tester

                14%        Tester

                  1%        Lean Tester

 

                  1% Some Other Candidate

                  4% Not Sure

 

2* Is your vote primarily a vote for a candidate or against his opponent?

 

                Burns voters

65% for Burns

31% against Tester

  5% not sure

               

Tester voters

59% for Tester

37% against Burns

  4% not sure

 

3* Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of:

 

 

Burns

Tester

Very favorable

24%

26%

Somewhat favorable

21%

26%

Somewhat unfavorable

17%

22%

Very unfavorable

36%

24%

Not sure

  2%

  3%

 

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.