MONTANA SURVEY of 500 likely voters

Wednesday, October 11, 2006

Toplines

Crosstabs for Ballot Questions

Crosstabs for Other Questions

Crosstabs for Vote For or Against

Previous Montana Survey

Daily Snapshot

1* If the election for the United States Senate were held today, would you vote for Republican Conrad Burns or for Democrat Jon Tester?

                42% Burns

49% Tester           

                                  3% some other candidate

                                  5% not sure

WITH LEANERS

44% Burns

50% Tester           

                                  2% some other candidate

                  4% not sure

BREAKDOWN

44% Total Burns

                34%        Certain Burns

                  8%        Burns

                  2%        Lean Burns

50% Total Tester

                45%        Certain Tester

                  4%        Tester

                  1%        Lean Tester

                  2% Some Other Candidate

                  4% Not Sure

2* Is your vote primarily a vote for a candidate or against his opponent?

                Burns voters

54% for Burns

41% against Tester

  5% not sure

Tester voters

72% for Tester

23% against Burns

  5% not sure

3* Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of:

4* Okay… I’m going to read you a short list of issues in the news today. For each, please let me know how important it will be in terms of how you will vote this November—first—the economy.

61% very important

32% somewhat important

  5% not very important

  1% not at all important

  1% not sure

5* Next… the national security issues like the War in Iraq and the War on Terror…

                74% very important

17% somewhat important

  6% not very important

  2% not at all important

  1% not sure

6* Okay… cultural issues like abortion, same sex marriage, and family values

43% very important

26% somewhat important

21% not very important

  9% not at all important

  0% not sure

7* Fine… domestic issues like education, health care, and social security

70% very important

25% somewhat important

  5% not very important

  1% not at all important

  0% not sure

8* Great… what about immigration

49% very important

30% somewhat important

14% not very important

  7% not at all important

  0% not sure

9* Last one… reigning in government corruption…

76% very important

16% somewhat important

  5% not very important

  2% not at all important

  1% not sure

10* Would you ever consider voting for a candidate who said he would raise taxes?

 

                44% yes

                32% no

                24% not sure

11* Would you ever consider voting for a candidate who said he would consider changes to Social Security?

                53% yes

                25% no

                22% not sure

12* Should all American troops in Iraq be brought home within a year?

                                40% yes

                40% no

                20% not sure

                13* Finally, suppose that your vote determined which political party wins control of the United States Senate this year.  Would you vote for the Republican Party or the Democratic Party?

                                46% Republican

                                48% Democratic

                                  7% not sure

14* How would you rate the job George W. Bush has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

                                32% strongly approve

                                19% somewhat approve

                                  9% somewhat disapprove

                                40% strongly disapprove

                                  0% not sure

15* How would you rate the job Brian Schweitzer has been doing as Governor… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

                                42% strongly approve

                                32% somewhat approve

                                16% somewhat disapprove

                                  9% strongly disapprove

                                  1% not sure

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.