MISSOURI SURVEY of 500 likely voters

Tuesday October 3, 2006

Toplines

Crosstabs for Ballot Questions

Crosstabs for Other Questions

Previous Missouri Survey

Daily Snapshot

1* In the Election for U.S. Senate this November, will you vote for Republican Jim Talent or Democrat Claire McCaskill?

                                43% Talent

44% McCaskill     

                                  4% some other candidate

                                10% not sure

WITH LEANERS

46% Talent

46% McCaskill     

                                  2% some other candidate

                  6% not sure

BREAKDOWN

46% Total Talent

                33%        Certain Talent

                10%        Talent

                  3%        Lean Talent

46% Total McCaskill

                31%        Certain McCaskill

                12%        McCaskill

                  3%        Lean McCaskill

                  2% Some Other Candidate

                  6% Not Sure

2* Is your vote primarily a vote for a candidate or against his opponent?

                Talent voters

66% for candidate

29% against McCaskill

  4% not sure

McCaskill voters

57% for candidate

36% against Talent

  7% not sure

3* Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of:

4* Okay… I’m going to read you a short list of issues in the news today. For each, please let me know how important it will be in terms of how you will vote this November—first—the economy.

65% very important

30% somewhat important

  3% not very important

  1% not at all important

  1% not sure

5* Next… the national security issues like the War in Iraq and the War on Terror…

                79% very important

17% somewhat important

  3% not very important

  1% not at all important

  1% not sure

6* Okay… cultural issues like abortion, same sex marriage, and family values

56% very important

22% somewhat important

13% not very important

  9% not at all important

  0% not sure

7* Fine… domestic issues like education, health care, and social security

66% very important

27% somewhat important

  7% not very important

  0% not at all important

  0% not sure

8* Great… what about immigration

48% very important

33% somewhat important

15% not very important

  3% not at all important

  1% not sure

9* Last one… reigning in government corruption…

75% very important

18% somewhat important

  5% not very important

  0% not at all important

  2% not sure

10* Would you ever consider voting for a candidate who said he would raise taxes?

 

                44% yes

                32% no

                24% not sure

11* Would you ever consider voting for a candidate who said he would consider changes to Social Security?

                49% yes

                36% no

                24% not sure

                12* Finally, suppose that your vote determined which political party wins control of the United States Senate this year.  Would you vote for the Republican Party or the Democratic Party?

                                43% Republican

                                46% Democratic

                                11% not sure

13* How would you rate the job George W. Bush has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

                                31% strongly approve

                                19% somewhat approve

                                10% somewhat disapprove

                                39% strongly disapprove

                                  1% not sure

14* How would you rate the job Matt Blunt has been doing as Governor… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

19% strongly approve

31% somewhat approve

15% somewhat disapprove

33% strongly disapprove

                                  2% not sure

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.