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MINNESOTA SURVEY of 500 likely voters

Wednesday, October 4, 2006

Toplines

Crosstabs for Ballot Questions Governor

Crosstabs for Ballot Questions Senator

Crosstabs for Other Questions

Previous Minnesota Survey

Daily Snapshot

 

1* If the election for governor were held today, would you vote for Republican Tim Pawlenty or for Democrat Mike Hatch?

 

                42% Pawlenty

44% Hatch            

                                  9% Hutchinson

                                  1% some other candidate

                                  4% not sure

 

WITH LEANERS

 

46% Pawlenty

50% Hatch

  2% Hutchinson                 

                                  0% some other candidate

                  2% not sure

 

BREAKDOWN

 

46% Total Pawlenty

                33%        Certain Pawlenty

                  9%        Pawlenty

                  4%        Lean Pawlenty

 

50% Total Hatch

                33%        Certain Hatch

                11%        Hatch

                  6%        Lean Hatch

 

  2% Hutchinson 

                  0% some other candidate

                  2% not sure

 

2* If the election for Minnesota’s next United States Senator, were held today, would you vote for Republican Mark Kennedy or for Democrat Amy Klobuchar?

 

36% Kennedy

53% Klobuchar    

                                  6% Fitzgerald

  1% some other candidate

                                  3% not sure

 

WITH LEANERS

 

40% Kennedy

57% Klobuchar

  1% Fitzgerald                     

                                  1% some other candidate

                  1% not sure

 

BREAKDOWN

 

40% Total Kennedy

                28%        Certain Kennedy

                  8%        Kennedy

                  4%        Lean Kennedy

 

57% Total Klobuchar

                43%        Certain Klobuchar

                11%        Klobuchar

                  3%        Lean Klobuchar

 

  1% Fitzgerald     

                  1% some other candidate

                  1% not sure

 

3* Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of:

 

 

Pawlenty

Hatch

Hutchinson

Kennedy

Klobuchar

Fitzgerald

Very favorable

26%

21%

  6%

21%

36%

  6%

Somewhat favorable

31%

36%

30%

24%

25%

23%

Somewhat unfavorable

22%

23%

20%

17%

16%

19%

Very unfavorable

20%

14%

10%

33%

18%

  9%

Not sure

  2%

  5%

33%

  5%

  5%

43%

 

4* Okay… I’m going to read you a short list of issues in the news today. For each, please let me know how important it will be in terms of how you will vote this November—first—the economy.

 

60% very important

33% somewhat important

  5% not very important

  1% not at all important

  1% not sure

 

5* Next… the national security issues like the War in Iraq and the War on Terror…

                71% very important

22% somewhat important

  4% not very important

  2% not at all important

  1% not sure

 

6* Okay… cultural issues like abortion, same sex marriage, and family values

 

38% very important

31% somewhat important

20% not very important

11% not at all important

  1% not sure

 

7* Fine… domestic issues like education, health care, and social security

 

68% very important

27% somewhat important

  4% not very important

  1% not at all important

  0% not sure

 

8* Great… what about immigration

 

38% very important

35% somewhat important

20% not very important

  5% not at all important

  1% not sure

 

9* Last one… reigning in government corruption…

 

65% very important

25% somewhat important

  8% not very important

  1% not at all important

  1% not sure

 

10* Would you ever consider voting for a candidate who said he would raise taxes?

 

                53% yes

                29% no

                17% not sure

 

11* Would you ever consider voting for a candidate who said he would consider changes to Social Security?

 

                59% yes

                22% no

                18% not sure

 

12* Should all American troops in Iraq be brought home within a year?

                                44% yes

                36% no

                20% not sure

 

                13* Finally, suppose that your vote determined which political party wins control of the United States Senate this year.  Would you vote for the Republican Party or the Democratic party?

 

                                38% Republican

                                52% Democratic

                                10% not sure

 

14* How would you rate the job George W. Bush has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

 

                                23% strongly approve

                                20% somewhat approve

                                  9% somewhat disapprove

                                48% strongly disapprove

                                  1% not sure

 

15* How would you rate the job Tim Pawlenty has been doing as Governor… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

 

                                26% strongly approve

                                25% somewhat approve

                                24% somewhat disapprove

                                25% strongly disapprove

                                  1% not sure

 

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.