MARYLAND SURVEY of 500 likely voters

Tuesday, October 10, 2006

Toplines

Crosstabs for Ballot Questions Governor

Crosstabs for Ballot Questions Senator

Crosstabs for Other Questions

Previous Maryland Survey

Daily Snapshot

1* If the election for Governor were held today, would you vote for Republican Bob Ehrlich or for Democrat Martin O’Malley?

44% Ehrlich

50% O’Malley

                                  1% some other candidate

                                  4% not sure

WITH LEANERS

45% Ehrlich

53% O’Malley      

                                  0% some other candidate

                  2% not sure

BREAKDOWN

45% Total Ehrlich

                38%        Certain Ehrlich

                  6%        Ehrlich

                  1%        Lean Ehrlich

53% Total O’Malley

                42%        Certain O’Malley

                  8%        O’Malley

                  2%        Lean O’Malley

                  0% Some Other Candidate

                  2% Not Sure

2* Is your vote primarily a vote for a candidate or against his opponent?

                Ehrlich voters

80% for Ehrlich

16% against O’Malley

  4% not sure

O’Malley voters

69% for O’Malley

28% against Ehrlich

  2% not sure

3* If the election for Senator were held today, would you vote for Republican Michael Steele or for Democrat Ben Cardin?

43% Steele

                                50% Cardin

                                  3% some other candidate

                                  4% not sure

WITH LEANERS

44% Steele

53% Cardin           

                                  1% some other candidate

                  3% not sure

BREAKDOWN

44% Total Steele

                35%        Certain Steele

                  8%        Steele

                  1%        Lean Steele

53% Total Cardin

                42%        Certain Cardin

                  8%        Cardin

                  2%        Lean Cardin

                  2% Some Other Candidate

                  3% Not Sure

4* Is your vote primarily a vote for a candidate or against his opponent?

                Steele voters

84% for Steele

12% against Cardin

  4% not sure

Cardin voters

65% for Cardin

29% against Steele

  6% not sure

5* Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of:

6* Okay… I’m going to read you a short list of issues in the news today. For each, please let me know how important it will be in terms of how you will vote this November—first—the economy.

63% very important

32% somewhat important

  3% not very important

  2% not at all important

  0% not sure

7* Next… the national security issues like the War in Iraq and the War on Terror…

                81% very important

14% somewhat important

  2% not very important

  2% not at all important

  1% not sure

8* Okay… cultural issues like abortion, same sex marriage, and family values

43% very important

31% somewhat important

18% not very important

  7% not at all important

  1% not sure

9* Fine… domestic issues like education, health care, and social security

65% very important

26% somewhat important

  7% not very important

  1% not at all important

  0% not sure

10* Great… what about immigration

45% very important

31% somewhat important

16% not very important

  7% not at all important

  1% not sure

11* Last one… reigning in government corruption…

67% very important

20% somewhat important

  7% not very important

  4% not at all important

  1% not sure

12* Would you ever consider voting for a candidate who said he would raise taxes?

 

                45% yes

                38% no

                17% not sure

13* Would you ever consider voting for a candidate who said he would consider changes to Social Security?

                58% yes

                26% no

                17% not sure

15* Should all American troops in Iraq be brought home within a year?

                                52% yes

                30% no

                18% not sure

                15* Finally, suppose that your vote determined which political party wins control of the United States Senate this year.  Would you vote for the Republican Party or the Democratic Party?

                                37% Republican

                                56% Democratic

                                  7% not sure

16* How would you rate the job George W. Bush has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

                                23% strongly approve

                                15% somewhat approve

                                12% somewhat disapprove

                                50% strongly disapprove

                                  0% not sure

17* How would you rate the job Bob Ehrlich has been doing as Governor… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

                                29% strongly approve

                                21% somewhat approve

                                31% somewhat disapprove

                                17% strongly disapprove

                                  1% not sure

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.