FLORIDA SURVEY of 500 likely voters

Monday, May 15, 2006

1* In the General Election for Governor, suppose you have a choice between Republican Charley Crist and Democrat Jim Davis. If the election were held today, would you vote for Republican Charley Crist or Democrat Jim Davis?

44% Crist

39% Davis

3% some other candidate

15% not sure

2* Okay… what if the Republicans nominate Tom Gallagher? If the election were held today, would you vote for Republican Tom Gallagher or Democrat Jim Davis?

38% Gallagher

43% Davis

5% some other candidate

15% not sure

3* Fine… suppose the Republicans nominate Charlie Crist and the Democrats nominate Rod Smith? If the election were held today, would you vote for Republican Charlie Crist or for Democrat Rod Smith?

45% Crist

34% Smith

5% some other candidate

16% not sure

4* Last match-up… suppose the Republicans nominate Tom Gallagher and the Democrats nominate Rod Smith? If the election were held today, would you vote for Republican Tom Gallagher or for Democrat Rod Smith?

44% Gallagher

33% Smith

6% some other candidate

16% not sure

5* Okay… In the Election for the U.S. Senate, suppose you have a choice between Republican Katherine Harris and Democrat Bill Nelson. If the election were held today, would you vote for Republican Katherine Harris or Democrat Bill Nelson?

33% Harris

60% Nelson

7% not sure

6* Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of:

	Davis	Crist	Gallagher	Smith	Nelson	Harris
Very favorable	10%	22%	17%	8%	37%	15%
Somewhat favorable	39%	38%	38%	34%	29%	27%
Somewhat unfavorable	20%	17%	23%	18%	13%	9%
Very unfavorable	5%	7%	8%	7%	10%	41%
Not sure	26%	16%	15%	33%	11%	7%

7* I’m going to read you a short list of issues. For each, please let me know which political party you trust more to handle that issue. First, the economy. Which political party do you trust more on the handling of the economy—Republicans or Democrats?

38% Republicans

57% Democrats

4% not sure

8* Next… national security… Which political party do you trust more on National Security—Republicans or Democrats?

39% Republicans

56% Democrats

5% not sure

9* Okay… energy policy… Which political party do you trust more on energy policy?

28% Republicans

60% Democrats

12% not sure

10* Fine… immigration… Which political party do you trust more on the immigration issue?

43% Republicans

38% Democrats

18% not sure

11* Next… the War in Iraq… Which political party do you trust more on the War in Iraq?

36% Republicans

56% Democrats

9% not sure

12* Next… I’d like you to rate the way that President Bush has handled key issues… First, the economy… Overall, how would you rate the way that President Bush has handled the economy…Excellent, good, fair, or poor?

19% excellent

17% good

20% fair

43% poor

1% not sure

13* Next… national security… how would you rate the way that President Bush has handled National Security issues?

23% excellent

15% good

24% fair

37% poor

2% not sure

14* Fine… energy policy… Overall, how would you rate the way that President Bush has handled the nation’s energy policy?

11% excellent

19% good

15% fair

53% poor

2% not sure

15* Fine… how would you rate the way that President Bush has handled immigration policy?

9% excellent

18% good

28% fair

42% poor

3% not sure

16* Last one…how would you rate the way that President Bush has handled the War in Iraq?

18% excellent

16% good

9% fair

55% poor

1% not sure

17* How would you rate the job Jeb Bush has been doing as Governor… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

32% strongly approve

27% somewhat approve

23% somewhat disapprove

17% strongly disapprove

1% not sure

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.