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Election 2004 Summary

Welcome

 

Survey of 1,000 Likely Voters Nov 2

Virginia Survey of 1,000 Likely Voters                                                              
Conducted by Rasmussen Reports                                                              
November 2, 2005                                                                
                                                                   
  TOTAL Party Ideology Bush Approval Warner Approval Gender Age Race Married
Likely Voters GOP Dem Other Very Conservative Somewhat Conservative Moderate Somewhat Liberal Very Liberal Not Sure Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Men Women 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ White Black Other Yes No
w/leaners Kilgore 46% 85% 8% 40% 89% 61% 26% 13% 10% 43% 85% 64% 21% 8% 19% 16% 58% 74% 69% 52% 46% 47% 44% 60% 36% 47% 43% 52% 29% 33% 53% 35%
Kaine 49% 13% 89% 49% 9% 34% 69% 82% 80% 43% 12% 26% 65% 91% 46% 80% 37% 21% 25% 39% 49% 48% 53% 35% 57% 49% 53% 43% 66% 61% 41% 61%
Potts 2% 1% 0% 6% 0% 3% 1% 1% 10% 0% 1% 8% 3% 0% 0% 2% 2% 4% 1% 0% 3% 1% 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% 3% 0% 3% 1%
Not Sure 3% 1% 3% 5% 2% 2% 4% 3% 0% 14% 2% 2% 11% 1% 34% 2% 3% 2% 4% 9% 2% 3% 1% 2% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 6% 3% 3%
                                                                   
  TOTAL Party Ideology Bush Approval Warner Approval Gender Age Race Married
Likely Voters GOP Dem Other Very Conservative Somewhat Conservative Moderate Somewhat Liberal Very Liberal Not Sure Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Men Women 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ White Black Other Yes No
Kilgore Very Favorable 30% 58% 5% 21% 69% 36% 12% 7% 6% 14% 63% 31% 7% 3% 19% 11% 31% 52% 59% 39% 30% 30% 26% 37% 27% 29% 32% 34% 18% 17% 37% 18%
Somewhat Favorable 23% 25% 19% 26% 21% 39% 21% 15% 1% 23% 21% 47% 31% 13% 0% 11% 37% 22% 22% 20% 24% 23% 24% 27% 20% 24% 18% 23% 27% 14% 20% 28%
Somewhat Unfavorable 19% 6% 31% 22% 4% 12% 30% 34% 17% 23% 9% 14% 36% 26% 24% 28% 15% 20% 3% 0% 13% 24% 7% 20% 24% 21% 23% 17% 32% 7% 19% 20%
Very Unfavorable 23% 6% 41% 24% 3% 7% 30% 41% 71% 34% 3% 7% 14% 53% 22% 44% 14% 5% 14% 0% 30% 17% 34% 16% 23% 21% 24% 23% 13% 48% 21% 26%
Not Sure 5% 4% 4% 7% 2% 7% 7% 2% 6% 7% 5% 1% 11% 4% 34% 6% 4% 2% 2% 40% 3% 7% 8% 1% 5% 6% 4% 3% 10% 14% 3% 8%
                                                                   
  TOTAL Party Ideology Bush Approval Warner Approval Gender Age Race Married
Likely Voters GOP Dem Other Very Conservative Somewhat Conservative Moderate Somewhat Liberal Very Liberal Not Sure Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Men Women 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ White Black Other Yes No
Kaine Very Favorable 28% 6% 57% 21% 5% 15% 37% 48% 66% 32% 7% 9% 27% 57% 37% 56% 11% 11% 15% 28% 31% 26% 25% 15% 37% 28% 40% 25% 37% 33% 24% 35%
Somewhat Favorable 28% 21% 31% 34% 12% 27% 36% 45% 15% 18% 19% 30% 34% 34% 9% 29% 41% 9% 9% 3% 25% 30% 29% 27% 24% 32% 20% 27% 30% 30% 26% 30%
Somewhat Unfavorable 22% 38% 8% 18% 33% 33% 17% 5% 5% 29% 37% 33% 23% 3% 0% 8% 30% 43% 12% 23% 20% 23% 18% 27% 18% 22% 25% 24% 16% 11% 25% 17%
Very Unfavorable 20% 34% 4% 21% 47% 23% 7% 2% 14% 0% 36% 26% 7% 5% 19% 5% 16% 35% 64% 34% 22% 19% 25% 29% 19% 15% 11% 21% 16% 17% 23% 14%
Not Sure 2% 2% 1% 6% 3% 2% 3% 1% 0% 21% 1% 3% 8% 1% 34% 3% 2% 2% 0% 12% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 4% 2% 1% 10% 2% 3%
                                                                   
  TOTAL Party Ideology Bush Approval Warner Approval Gender Age Race Married
Likely Voters GOP Dem Other Very Conservative Somewhat Conservative Moderate Somewhat Liberal Very Liberal Not Sure Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Men Women 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ White Black Other Yes No
Potts Very Favorable 7% 5% 8% 7% 5% 6% 7% 13% 5% 0% 5% 6% 9% 8% 2% 7% 8% 7% 2% 0% 10% 4% 10% 7% 7% 5% 6% 7% 3% 20% 5% 9%
Somewhat Favorable 28% 22% 33% 32% 16% 25% 37% 41% 24% 28% 25% 25% 31% 33% 42% 34% 28% 33% 9% 0% 30% 27% 15% 30% 38% 30% 24% 31% 24% 10% 31% 23%
Somewhat Unfavorable 23% 26% 23% 17% 26% 21% 20% 24% 27% 6% 25% 18% 29% 21% 0% 21% 24% 25% 23% 17% 20% 25% 25% 20% 18% 26% 23% 21% 28% 30% 20% 27%
Very Unfavorable 18% 24% 13% 13% 30% 18% 14% 6% 15% 14% 21% 24% 14% 13% 0% 14% 11% 22% 47% 32% 21% 15% 18% 19% 16% 17% 21% 19% 15% 12% 22% 10%
Not Sure 25% 23% 23% 30% 22% 30% 22% 17% 30% 52% 24% 27% 17% 26% 56% 24% 30% 14% 19% 51% 19% 29% 31% 24% 21% 23% 26% 23% 31% 28% 21% 31%
                                                                   
  TOTAL Party Ideology Bush Approval Warner Approval Gender Age Race Married
Likely Voters GOP Dem Other Very Conservative Somewhat Conservative Moderate Somewhat Liberal Very Liberal Not Sure Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Men Women 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ White Black Other Yes No
Economy Kilgore 45% 83% 9% 37% 85% 59% 25% 13% 13% 47% 83% 63% 26% 6% 19% 18% 54% 71% 69% 49% 46% 44% 39% 58% 38% 46% 42% 51% 26% 29% 53% 32%
Kaine 45% 9% 83% 46% 8% 30% 61% 80% 77% 37% 12% 17% 49% 88% 46% 75% 34% 13% 24% 28% 46% 44% 47% 30% 55% 45% 50% 39% 63% 56% 39% 55%
Not Sure 10% 7% 8% 18% 7% 10% 14% 7% 10% 16% 5% 21% 25% 6% 34% 7% 12% 16% 6% 23% 8% 12% 14% 13% 7% 9% 8% 9% 11% 15% 8% 13%
                                                                   
  TOTAL Party Ideology Bush Approval Warner Approval Gender Age Race Married
Likely Voters GOP Dem Other Very Conservative Somewhat Conservative Moderate Somewhat Liberal Very Liberal Not Sure Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Men Women 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ White Black Other Yes No
Taxes Kilgore 46% 82% 9% 43% 86% 64% 26% 13% 10% 31% 82% 69% 22% 8% 19% 17% 54% 73% 79% 49% 44% 48% 42% 62% 40% 43% 43% 52% 29% 27% 54% 33%
Kaine 43% 10% 81% 40% 6% 28% 59% 76% 79% 51% 10% 17% 52% 83% 46% 75% 31% 13% 14% 39% 46% 40% 48% 29% 49% 43% 47% 39% 53% 51% 36% 54%
Not Sure 11% 7% 10% 18% 8% 8% 15% 11% 11% 18% 8% 14% 25% 8% 34% 8% 15% 14% 6% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 11% 13% 10% 8% 18% 22% 10% 13%
                                                                   
  TOTAL Party Ideology Bush Approval Warner Approval Gender Age Race Married
Likely Voters GOP Dem Other Very Conservative Somewhat Conservative Moderate Somewhat Liberal Very Liberal Not Sure Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Men Women 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ White Black Other Yes No
Death Penalty Kilgore 51% 85% 15% 51% 85% 67% 38% 15% 19% 29% 86% 70% 31% 15% 19% 29% 60% 72% 72% 40% 53% 50% 50% 63% 47% 50% 45% 57% 33% 40% 59% 39%
Kaine 33% 10% 60% 31% 6% 22% 43% 73% 48% 17% 8% 17% 33% 65% 44% 53% 23% 17% 24% 28% 32% 34% 26% 19% 40% 39% 44% 32% 42% 23% 29% 40%
Not Sure 15% 5% 25% 18% 9% 11% 20% 12% 33% 54% 5% 13% 37% 20% 36% 17% 17% 11% 4% 32% 15% 16% 24% 18% 13% 12% 11% 11% 26% 37% 12% 20%
                                                                   
  TOTAL Party Ideology Bush Approval Warner Approval Gender Age Race Married
Likely Voters GOP Dem Other Very Conservative Somewhat Conservative Moderate Somewhat Liberal Very Liberal Not Sure Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Men Women 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ White Black Other Yes No
seen Ads Yes 82% 79% 82% 86% 84% 79% 80% 83% 91% 65% 81% 72% 77% 88% 98% 86% 78% 82% 86% 66% 82% 82% 83% 80% 80% 83% 84% 83% 74% 94% 81% 84%
No 12% 15% 10% 10% 14% 11% 15% 9% 6% 1% 12% 24% 14% 6% 0% 8% 13% 17% 14% 22% 14% 11% 14% 11% 15% 10% 11% 13% 11% 6% 14% 9%
Not Sure 6% 6% 7% 4% 1% 10% 5% 8% 3% 34% 6% 3% 9% 6% 2% 6% 9% 1% 0% 12% 4% 8% 3% 9% 5% 6% 6% 4% 14% 0% 6% 6%
                                                                   
  TOTAL Party Ideology Bush Approval Warner Approval Gender Age Race Married
Likely Voters GOP Dem Other Very Conservative Somewhat Conservative Moderate Somewhat Liberal Very Liberal Not Sure Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Men Women 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ White Black Other Yes No
Impact of Ad More Likely Vote for Kilgore 26% 52% 8% 15% 53% 41% 8% 9% 4% 2% 50% 31% 23% 4% 20% 5% 34% 42% 48% 58% 30% 24% 27% 36% 23% 24% 20% 30% 15% 19% 30% 20%
More Likely Vote for Kaine 36% 10% 66% 33% 6% 19% 48% 74% 66% 23% 7% 21% 30% 69% 70% 65% 24% 6% 22% 0% 39% 33% 45% 28% 37% 34% 39% 34% 36% 53% 31% 44%
No impact 36% 36% 25% 49% 40% 35% 43% 17% 31% 70% 39% 46% 47% 26% 2% 28% 39% 52% 31% 27% 31% 40% 23% 35% 40% 40% 38% 35% 43% 25% 38% 32%
Not Sure 2% 2% 1% 4% 1% 5% 0% 1% 0% 6% 4% 2% 0% 1% 8% 2% 3% 0% 0% 15% 1% 3% 5% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 6% 2% 1% 4%
                                                                   
  TOTAL Party Ideology Bush Approval Warner Approval Gender Age Race Married
Likely Voters GOP Dem Other Very Conservative Somewhat Conservative Moderate Somewhat Liberal Very Liberal Not Sure Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Men Women 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ White Black Other Yes No
Bush Approval Strongly Approve 37% 66% 9% 31% 71% 46% 19% 17% 10% 14% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 13% 43% 66% 54% 37% 36% 37% 34% 46% 38% 33% 31% 37% 39% 24% 42% 28%
Somewhat Approve 16% 22% 4% 21% 15% 29% 12% 4% 8% 14% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 10% 19% 21% 15% 28% 16% 15% 7% 21% 16% 16% 18% 20% 3% 6% 17% 13%
Somewhat Disapprove 11% 4% 19% 10% 5% 8% 20% 8% 5% 15% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 11% 14% 9% 3% 1% 10% 12% 9% 8% 8% 14% 14% 8% 18% 16% 9% 14%
Strongly Disapprove 36% 8% 69% 36% 8% 17% 48% 70% 77% 52% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 65% 25% 5% 27% 31% 38% 35% 50% 25% 37% 36% 37% 34% 40% 52% 31% 46%
Not Sure 1% 0% 0% 2% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 1% 0% 0% 1% 2% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 3% 1% 0%
                                                                   
  TOTAL Party Ideology Bush Approval Warner Approval Gender Age Race Married
Likely Voters GOP Dem Other Very Conservative Somewhat Conservative Moderate Somewhat Liberal Very Liberal Not Sure Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Men Women 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ White Black Other Yes No
Warner Approval Strongly Approve 36% 17% 56% 38% 13% 22% 48% 53% 71% 69% 13% 23% 37% 64% 63% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 37% 35% 32% 21% 39% 43% 51% 37% 30% 38% 36% 37%
Somewhat Approve 36% 41% 30% 36% 39% 43% 34% 30% 23% 22% 42% 43% 47% 24% 9% 0%