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Wisconsin Governor: Doyle (D) by 5

Survey of 500 Likely Voters

March 20, 2006

Election 2006

Wisconsin Governor

Jim Doyle (D) 45%
Mark Green (R) 40%

RasmussenReports.com


Election 2006

Wisconsin Governor

Three-Poll Rolling Average

Surveys Doyle Green
Dec-Jan-Mar 46% 40%

RasmussenReports.com



 

March 29, 2006--In the latest Rasmussen Reports survey of Wisconsin's competitive gubernatorial race, Democrat Jim Doyle, the incumbent, maintains a single-digit lead over his remaining Republican challenger.

Our poll, conducted before Milwaukee County Executive Scott Walker announced March 24 that he was quitting the race, shows the governor leading Congressman Mark Green 45% to 40%.

That's a couple points smaller than Doyle's 7-point lead in our previous poll on the race. In December, Doyle led Green by 6 points.

Walker cited fundraising problems and the need for Republicans to unite against Doyle as his reasons for stepping down.

A day before news of Walker's departure from the race, GOP chairman Ken Mehlman publicly labeled Doyle the country's "most vulnerable" incumbent governor. Rick Wiley, who heads up the Republican Party of Wisconsin, said the GOP had not urged Walker to throw in the towel but hailed his decision to do so.

When matched against Green, Doyle wins support from 83% of fellow Democrats, and seems to have little opportunity to expand that base of support. Only 1% of Democrats report they are not sure how they will vote. By contrast, 9% of GOP members and 19% of likely voters unaffiliated with either major party are undecided.

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Green can now concentrate all his funds and firepower on unseating the incumbent...unless former Republican Governor Tommy Thompson enters the race. He has declined to counter speculation that he might do so.

A slew of corruption scandals in the state continue to receive play in the news. Fifty-eight percent (58%) of likely voters believe most politicians will change their vote to get  a contribution, and only 20% disagree.

The rolling average of the last three Rasmussen Reports election polls in Wisconsin shows Doyle leading 46% to 40%.The polling results have been remarkably stable through the early part of this campaign.

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Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdgeTM Premium Service for Election 2006 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a mid-term election. We update the President's Job Approval Ratings daily and are polling every Senate and Governor's race at least once a month in 2006.

Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome.

During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

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The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports March 14, 2006.  The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points at the midpoint with a 95% level of confidence (see Methodology).


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Election 2006

Wisconsin Governor

Date Doyle Green
Mar 20 45% 40%
Jan 23 48% 41%
Dec 8 45% 39%

RasmussenReports.com