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Pennsylvania Governor: Rendell (D) by 3

Survey of 500 Likely Voters

March 14, 2006

Election 2006

Pennsylvania Governor

Ed Rendell (D) 44%
Lynn Swann (R) 41%

RasmussenReports.com


Election 2006

Pennsylvania Governor

Three-Poll Rolling Average

Surveys Rendell Swann
Jan-Feb-Mar 44% 43%
Nov-Jan-Feb 46% 41%
Nov 10-Nov 30-Jan 47% 41%

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March 28, 2006--The latest Rasmussen Reports election poll in Pennsylvania shows Democratic Governor Ed Rendell leading Republican Lynn Swann, the former Pittsburgh Steeler, 44% to 41%.

That's an echo of our February report, except that each candidate has lost a couple points since then. In February, 7% were undecided, 4% would have chosen another candidate. Undecideds are still at 7%, but 8% would now choose another candidate if the election were held today.

Swann is viewed favorably by 55% of voters, unfavorably by 34% (a jump from 18% as more people make up their mind about him). Rendell is viewed favorably by 52%, unfavorably by 44%.

Swann leads by 10 among those who name the Pittsburgh Steelers their favorite football team while Governor Rendell holds a 2-to-1 margin among Eagles fans. (We noted in January that the governor is a fan of the Eagles.)

The bad news for Rendell is that, in the wake of a Super Bowl season, there's a lot more Steelers' fans in the state. In fact, a majority of 51% name the Steelers as their favorite team while only 19% say the Eagles. Twenty percent (20%) say some other, out-of-state- team, is their favorite.

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Fifty percent (50%) say elections are fair to voters. Fifty-three percent (53%) of Pennsylvania voters say journalists have more impact on elections that campaign contributors do; 34% say it's the other way around.

The rolling average of our last three Pennsylvania election polls shows Rendell at 44% and Swann at 43%. This confirms the very close nature of the race.

The Pennsylvania Senate race is not nearly as competitive, but the Democrat, Bob Casey, Jr, has lost a bit of his support over the past month.

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Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdgeTM Premium Service for Election 2006 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a mid-term election. We update the President's Job Approval Ratings daily and are polling every Senate and Governor's race at least once a month in 2006.

Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome.

During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

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The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports March 14, 2006.  The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points at the midpoint with a 95% level of confidence (see Methodology).


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Election 2006

Pennsylvania Governor

Date Rendell Swann
Mar 14 44% 41%
Feb 2 46% 43%
Jan 15 43% 45%
Nov 7 50% 36%
Jul 20 47% 41%

RasmussenReports.com