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Michigan Governor:

Granholm-DeVos Tied

Survey of 500 Likely Voters

March 20, 2006

Election 2006

Michigan Governor

Jennifer Granholm (D) 44%
Dick DeVos (R) 44%

RasmussenReports.com


Election 2006

Michigan Governor

Three-Poll Rolling Average

Surveys Granholm DeVos
Jan-Feb-Mar 46% 42%
Nov-Jan-Feb 47% 39%

RasmussenReports.com



 

March 27, 2006--The latest Rasmussen Reports poll in the race for governor of Michigan shows Democratic Governor Jennifer Granholm and Republican Dick DeVos tied, 44% to 44%. This confirms the tightening of the race first reported last month.

In January, Granholm held a double-digit lead.

Faced with a flailing auto industry and bleak job prospects, the incumbent has been unable all along to get a toehold above the 50% level of support. Even in January, when she enjoyed a double-digit advantage over DeVos, Granholm peaked at 49%.

Granholm's lead disappeared in February following announcement of major lay-offs by Ford and GM (and following the Governor's State-of-the-State Address). Last week's news that General Motors will offer all unionized employees a buy-out to leave their jobs isn't likely to improve the economic mood in a state so closely linked with the auto industry.

Granholm is viewed favorably by 48% of all voters, unfavorably by 43%, with 10% Not Sure. DeVos is viewed favorably by only 37% and unfavorably by 29%, with 34% Not Sure. For Granholm, those numbers are little changed. For DeVos, they represent an improvement over last month.

Governor Granholm is doing slightly better now with Democrats, with 71% casting their lot with her versus the 66% support we saw in February. DeVos enjoys 81% support from the GOP.

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The rolling average of the last three Rasmussen Reports polls also highlights the tightening of the race. For the three polls ending in February, Granholm held an eight point advantage, 47% to 39%. Now, with the most recent  three polls, that edge has been cut in half, 46% to 42%.

The three-poll rolling average is less volatile than single poll results and sometimes helps determine whether changing poll results represent real change or merely statistical noise. In this case, it appears that there has been real and significant movement in the race.

Asked about other issues of the day, 42% of the state's likely voters told us they favor a ban on abortion except when the life of the mother is at risk, 44% oppose such a ban.

Fifty-nine percent (59%) believe that most politicians will change their vote on an issue to secure a campaign contribution. Only 25% favor public funding of political campaigns, an idea opposed by 55%.

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Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdgeTM Premium Service for Election 2006 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a mid-term election. We update the President's Job Approval Ratings daily and are polling every Senate and Governor's race at least once a month in 2006.

Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome.

During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

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The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports March 20, 2006.  The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points at the midpoint with a 95% level of confidence (see Methodology).


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Election 2006

Michigan Governor

Date Granholm DeVos
Mar 20 44% 44%
Feb 9 44% 43%
Jan 15 49% 38%
Nov 29 48% 36%

RasmussenReports.com