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Maine Governor: Baldacci Still in 40% Neighborhood

Survey of 500 Likely Voters

April 3, 2006

Election 2006

Maine Governor

John Baldacci (D) 39%
Dave Emery (R) 42%


Election 2006

Maine Governor

John Baldacci (D) 43%
Chandler Woodcock (R) 36%


Election 2006

Maine Governor

John Baldacci (D) 40%
Peter Mills (R) 41%



April 7, 2006--In the race for Governor of Maine, the Democratic incumbent is still scrambling for a toehold against several possible Republican challengers.

Incumbents with less than 50% support are especially at risk in their reelection efforts, but Governor John Baldacci has trouble staying above even 40%. He currently does so in only one of the prospective face-offs we asked likely voters about.

Baldacci now leads State Senator Chandler Woodcock 43% to 36%. He led Woodcock 40% to 35% in our late-February poll of the race. 

When pitted against State Senator Peter Mills, the governor trails by a point, 41% to 40%. In February Mills also led by a single point, 39% to 38%.

Baldacci trails Congressman Dave Emery 42% to 39%. Those are similar to the numbers we saw in January, when the Governor trailed Emery 39% to 37%.

Emery remains the most competitive Republican vying for the nomination. No GOP candidate is yet very well-known: about a quarter of voters are Not Sure what they think of each.

The governor is viewed favorably by 51%, unfavorably by 47%. Emery is viewed favorably by 41%, unfavorably by 31%. Woodcock is viewed favorably by 38%, unfavorably by 34%. Mills is viewed favorably by 45%, unfavorably by 29%.

Forty-eight percent (48%) approve of how Baldacci is doing his job, but only a third of those who approve do so strongly.

Forty-nine percent (49%) disapprove, almost half of whom strongly disapprove. These numbers are still an improvement over the last poll, though, when 56% disapproved of the governor's performance. 

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Maine voters are more likely to support public funding than voters in other states, less likely to think elections are fair. Still, only 34% favor public funding; a plurality of 46% oppose it. Forty-five percent (45%) say elections are generally fair to voters, 37% say No.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) oppose a South-Dakota-like abortion ban. 

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Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdgeTM Premium Service for Election 2006 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a mid-term election. We update the President's Job Approval Ratings daily and are polling every Senate and Governor's race at least once a month in 2006.

Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome.

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Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

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The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports April 3, 2006.  The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points at the midpoint with a 95% level of confidence (see Methodology).

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