Maine Governor: Baldacci Still in 40% Neighborhood
Survey of 500 Likely Voters
April 3, 2006
April 7, 2006--In the race for Governor of Maine, the Democratic incumbent is still scrambling for a toehold against several possible Republican challengers.
Incumbents with less than 50% support are especially at risk in their reelection efforts, but Governor John Baldacci has trouble staying above even 40%. He currently does so in only one of the prospective face-offs we asked likely voters about.
Baldacci now leads State Senator Chandler Woodcock 43% to 36%. He led Woodcock 40% to 35% in our late-February poll of the race.
When pitted against State Senator Peter Mills, the governor trails by a point, 41% to 40%. In February Mills also led by a single point, 39% to 38%.
Baldacci trails Congressman Dave Emery 42% to 39%. Those are similar to the numbers we saw in January, when the Governor trailed Emery 39% to 37%.
Emery remains the most competitive Republican vying for the nomination. No GOP candidate is yet very well-known: about a quarter of voters are Not Sure what they think of each.
The governor is viewed favorably by 51%, unfavorably by 47%. Emery is viewed favorably by 41%, unfavorably by 31%. Woodcock is viewed favorably by 38%, unfavorably by 34%. Mills is viewed favorably by 45%, unfavorably by 29%.
Forty-eight percent (48%) approve of how Baldacci is doing his job, but only a third of those who approve do so strongly.
Forty-nine percent (49%) disapprove, almost half of whom strongly disapprove. These numbers are still an improvement over the last poll, though, when 56% disapproved of the governor's performance.
Maine voters are more likely to support public funding than voters in other states, less likely to think elections are fair. Still, only 34% favor public funding; a plurality of 46% oppose it. Forty-five percent (45%) say elections are generally fair to voters, 37% say No.
Fifty-eight percent (58%) oppose a South-Dakota-like abortion ban.
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The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports April 3, 2006. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points at the midpoint with a 95% level of confidence (see Methodology).