Iowa Governor: Little Change, Still Close
Survey of 500 Likely Voters
March 29, 2006
April 5, 2006--The latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows little change in the race for Iowa Governor.
In February, Republican Congressman Jim Nussle was neck and neck with Iowa Secretary of State Chet Culver, while clearly leading the other Democrats vying for their party's nomination. This generalization still holds true.
Nussle now trails Culver 40% to 38%, a toss-up. The rolling average of our last three polls paints an identical picture with Culver leading Nussle by one point.
While even with Culver, Nussle now leads Democratic state legislator Ed Fallon 41% to 31%. He also leads Michael Blouin 41% to 34%. The Republican's advantage over Fallon is about the same as it was in February, but he has gained a couple points on Blouin.
There has been one big change in the race since our last poll: the departure of Patty Judge, to be Culver's running mate should he win nomination. (The primary is June 6.) If that's a boon for Culver, though, it hasn't yet enabled him to surge into a definitive lead over Nussle.
Culver attracts the highest level of support from Democrats, 75%. By contrast, only 62% of Democrats prefer Blouin over Nussle, and only 57% prefer Fallon over Nussle.
Nussle is viewed favorably by 56%, unfavorably by 30%. Culver is in similar territory, viewed favorably by 52%, unfavorably by 29%.
Blouin and Fallon have weaker numbers in this area as well. Blouin is viewed favorably by 38%, unfavorably by 35%. For Fallon, the numbers are 34% favorable, 39% unfavorable.
Most Iowa voters think that most politicians would change their vote for a contribution. But, as in other states we've polled, a majority also don't see this is as a reason to institute publicly funded campaigns.
When asked about the abortion issue, 61% say abortion is morally wrong most of the time while 25% say it isn't. A plurality of 45% would support a South-Dakota type ban, making abortion illegal except when the life of the mother is at stake.
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Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports March 29, 2006. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points at the midpoint with a 95% level of confidence.