Arizona Governor: Napolitano Cruising
Survey of 500 Likely Voters
March 30, 2006
April 4, 2006--The latest Rasmussen Reports survey of Arizona's gubernatorial campaign shows Governor Janet Napolitano, the Democrat, continuing to throttle each of three possible Republican opponents when likely voters are asked about prospective match-ups.
Napolitano leads Don Goldwater, nephew of Barry Goldwater, 54% to 34%. The governor attracts double the support that former state appeals court judge Jan Florez does, leading Florez 56% to 28%. Her lead over former State Senate President John Greene is even more intimidating, 59% to 25%.
These leads are comparable to what we've seen in our previous Arizona election polls. Political observers have expected Governor Napolitano to win reelection easily, and so far her campaign has suffered no curve balls.
Even GOP voters are giving Napolitano a minimum of 25% of their votes in each match-up. Greene sends as many as 36% of the GOP to Napolitano's camp. Two thirds or more of moderates and voters unaffiliated with either major party also prefer the incumbent.
Arizona's U.S. Senate race isn't yet keeping campaign watchers up late at night either.
Napolitano is viewed favorably by 69% of voters, unfavorably by 29%. Only 1% haven't made up their minds about her. Goldwater, the strongest Republican contender, is viewed favorably by 44%. Greene is viewed favorably by 33%, and Florez by 29%. Between a quarter and a third of voters don't yet now what to think of each Republican.
Asked about the abortion issue, which is in the news because of the new abortion ban in South Dakota, 43% of Arizona voters say it's too easy to get an abortion, 68% say they know someone who has had one, and 51% say abortion is morally wrong. Forty-one percent (41%) favor banning abortion except when the life of the mother is at risk, while 51% oppose such a ban.
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Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports March 30, 2006. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points at the midpoint with a 95% level of confidence (see Methodology).