Survey of 500 Likely Voters
July 31, 2006

Election 2006: New York Senate
Hillary Clinton (D) 61%
Kathleen T. McFarland (R) 31%
Election 2006: New York Senate
Hillary Clinton (D) 61%
John Spencer (R) 31%
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New York Senate:
Hillary Clinton Maintaining Big Lead
Clinton (D) Crushes Both Leading Republicans 61% to 31%

Former Pentagon official Kathleen Troia McFarland and Yonkers Mayor John Spencer have emerged as the leading contenders for the GOP nomination for U.S. Senate, but neither is making headway. In the latest Rasmussen Reports survey of the race, Clinton now leads both candidates 61% to 31% (see crosstabs).

Further breakdowns of the numbers also show little difference in how voters respond to the two Republican hopefuls. McFarland attracts 64% of Republicans, 11% of Democrats, 29% of unaffiliated voters. Spencer attracts 64% of Republicans, 12% of Democrats, 28% of unaffiliated voters.

Hillary Clinton is viewed favorably by 62% of all voters, Spencer by 36%, McFarland by 35%. About 35% don't yet voice an opinion of either Republican.

Clinton is viewed unfavorably by 37%, "very" unfavorably by 23%.

Senator Clinton, of course, has a following far beyond the borders of New York. Rasmussen Reports measures her national numbers every other week with our poll. Additionally, in many states, we have a hypothetical Presidential match-up between Clinton and Republicans John McCain and Rudy Giuliani. The biggest surprise so far was found in Massachusetts where the Democrat trails McCain by a point.

The economy is the number one issue to 31% of voters in the Empire State. Twenty-four percent (24%) say it's the war in Iraq. National security (15%) and political corruption (13%) are also on the minds of many.

Despite second thoughts about the war in Iraq, Clinton, who voted for a resolution in support of the war, has not advocated an immediate withdrawal of troops from the country. A far more consistent supporter of the war, Democratic Senator Joe Lieberman of nearby Connecticut, has been especially targeted by anti-war Democrats with the result that his support from fellow Democrats has imploded.

Crosstabs are available for Premium Members only.


Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2006 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a mid-term election. We update the President's Job Approval Ratings daily and are polling competitive Senate and Governor's races at least once a month in 2006.

Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome.

During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

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