Survey of 500 Likely Voters
July 19, 2006

Election 2006: Maine Governor
John Baldacci (D) 43%
Chandler Woodcock (R) 37%
Election 2006: Maine Senate
Olympia Snowe (R) 69%
Jean Hay Bright (D) 22%
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Maine Governor:
At 43%, Baldacci Is Six Points Ahead

As Governor Baldacci (D) Struggles, Senator Snowe (R) Enjoys 300% Advantage

Democratic Governor John Baldacci's thin advantage in our mid-June poll, which showed him leading Republican challenger Chandler Woodcock 45% to 43%, has grown by four points. In the latest Rasmussen Reports election poll, Baldacci now leads Woodcock 43% to 37%.

We suspected that Woodcock's jump last month owed something to post-convention bounce, the fading of which would explain his now-lower support. Woodcock is still doing pretty well for a challenger. But with a fifth of voters either pondering a third-party-candidate (10%) or undecided (10%), neither Baldacci nor Woodcock is a slam dunk.

Governor Baldacci is viewed favorably by 53%, Woodcock by 48%.

Several third-party candidates could make a difference given the closeness of the race and the voters' openness to an alternative. At least two, Green Independent Party candidate Pat LaMarche and Independent Barbara Merrill, are fairly well known in the state. LaMarche, Merrill and Woodcock are all receiving some public funding for their campaigns under Maine's ten-year-old Clean Elections Act.

Meanwhile, over in Maine's race for U.S. Senate, the Rasmussen Reports survey shows Republican Senator Olympia Snowe still flattening Democrat Jean Hay Bright, 69% to 22%. Snowe has gained ground, adding four percentage points to her total since June so that her support is now triple her opponent's. Snowe is viewed favorably by 76%, Hay Bright by 36%.

Thirty-four percent (34%) of Maine voters say the economy is the most important electoral issue to them. We listed six major issues; after the economy, the most often picked as the top concern is the war in Iraq (20%), followed by corruption (14%) and national security (14%).

Fifty-nine percent (59%) say the political system is "badly broken." More Democrats (65%) than Republicans (46%) say so. In the 1990s, when a Democrat was in the White House, Republicans were more likely to see problems with the political system.

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Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2006 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a mid-term election. We update the President's Job Approval Ratings daily and are polling every Senate and Governor's race at least once a month in 2006.

Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome.

During Election 2004, was also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.


Election 2006

Washington Senate: Cantwell 48%, McGavick 37%

Connecticut Governor: Rell by 22%+