Survey of 500 Likely Voters
July 27, 2006

Election 2006: Iowa Governor
Chet Culver (D) 41%
Jim Nussle (R) 38%
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Iowa Governor: Culver, Nussle in Toss-Up

Culver (D) 41% Nussle (R) 38%
Photo: Chet held a press conference to talk about expanding the market for E-85 pumps across Iowa.
Secretary of State Chet Culver

Secretary of State Chet Culver (D) continues to edge out Congressman Jim Nussle (R) in Iowa's race for Governor. In the previous Rasmussen Reports election poll, Culver was six percentage points ahead. Now, as the nominee, Culver leads Nussle by just three points, 41% to 38%.

Their match-ups have been close all year. But except in January—when they each drew 40% support—Culver has always managed to scratch out at least a one-point lead.

Nussle reportedly has the edge financially, but Culver has proven adept at fundraising and has over a million on hand, despite having weathered an expensive primary campaign.

In response to a jobs training scandal here, Culver is proposing several ethics reforms, which would include killing lavish bonuses for program managers. But he says his proposals are not meant to criticize Iowa Governor Tom Vilsack, a Democrat who is dreaming of the 2008 Presidential campaign. Nussle, whom Culver rebukes for being a longtime participant in Washington DC's "culture of corruption," has countered with similar proposals.

The two candidates have comparable favorable numbers. Nussle is viewed favorably by 52%, Culver by 50%. Each is unknown to about 12% of voters.

Governor Vilsack's job performance is viewed with approval by 56%, disapproval by 43%.

President Bush's approval rating is 40%, the same as the national average right now. Fifty-nine percent (59%) of Iowa voters disapprove of the job the President is doing, 45% "strongly."

Corruption is a number one issue to many voters (14%), but many more (34%) are most concerned about the economy.

Forty-seven percent (47%) of Iowa’s likely voters say the Bible is literally true, versus 39% who say it is not. Meanwhile, 54% are pro-choice, 40% pro-life.

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The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2006 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a mid-term election. We update the President's Job Approval Ratings daily and are polling every Senate and Governor's race at least once a month in 2006.

Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome.

During Election 2004, was also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.


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