Survey of 1000 Likely Voters
July 20, 2006
Election 2006:
Connecticut Senate
Joseph Lieberman (I) 40%
Ned Lamont (D)

40%

Alan Schlesinger (R) 13%
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Connecticut Senate: Lieberman Neck and Neck With Lamont
Lamont (D) 40%, Lieberman (I) 40%, Schlesinger (R) 13%

Support for Senator Joe Lieberman (D) is plummeting in Connecticut.

Just last month he mustered a fifteen-point lead over Ned Lamont in a projected three-way general election contest (with Lamont as the Democrat and Lieberman as an Independent). Now, Lieberman’s lead has disappeared. In this month’s three-way match-up, Lamont and Lieberman each get 40% of the vote. The Republican, Alan Schlesinger, attracts just 13%.

In April, Lamont could pull only 20% in the three-way, just half what he grabs now.

Lieberman could defeat Republican Alan Schlesinger by some forty percentage points if re-nominated as the Democratic standard-bearer. But Lieberman’s ability to get the nod is increasingly in doubt (see our story on the Democratic primary race).

Senator Lieberman is under fire from fellow Democrats for supporting the unpopular war of an unpopular President—unpopular especially with Democrats. Lamont has exploited that dissatisfaction to the extent that he now ties his primary opponent when voters consider a three-way general election with Lamont as the Democratic nominee.

Overall, Lieberman is viewed favorably by 58% of Connecticut voters. Just 49% say the same about Lamont. But, Lamont is more popular among Democrats (see crosstabs).

Schlesinger, viewed favorably by only 31%, loses badly no matter how the election is sliced. In yet another curve ball thrown into the race, Schlesinger has even been pressured by some to drop out because of questions about his past as a gambler. Conceivably, the GOP could then hand the nomination to Lieberman, and a rumor has been circulating to that effect. Let's just say this is one race that won't be over 'til it's over.

Because of Senator Lieberman's support for the war in Iraq, the Senator and the President are often seen as politically joined at the hip. Among those who "strongly" disapprove of Bush's job performance, Lamont now leads Lieberman by a more than two-to-one margin.

And in this state, a lot of people strongly disapprove of the President: 47% of all voters, 63% of Democrats. 

Crosstabs are available for Premium Members.


Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2006 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a mid-term election. We update the President's Job Approval Ratings daily and are polling every Senate and Governor's race at least once a month in 2006.

Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome.

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Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

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