|Election 2006: Arizona Senate|
|Jon Kyl (R)||52%|
|Jim Pederson (D)||35%|
|Election 2006: Arizona Senate
Three-Poll Rolling Average
|Election 2006: Arizona Senate|
Incumbent Leads by 17
Incumbent Republican Sen. John Kyl is in cruise control and appears well positioned to win a third term in the U.S. Senate. The latest Rasmussen Reports election survey shows Kyl leading challenger Jim Pederson 52% to 35% (see crosstabs). His lead was 19 in July and the current numbers are repeats of the results from June’s survey.
The Arizona race continues to be listed in the “Republican” column for our Senate Balance of Power summary.
Thirty-two percent (32%) of voters say they have a “very favorable” opinion of Kyl. Seventeen percent (17%) have a “very unfavorable” view of the senator.
The numbers are less positive for the challenger—17% have a “very favorable,” and 18% a “very unfavorable” view of Pederson.
In a race that was expected to be much closer, Pederson is refusing to go down without a fight. The former chair of the Arizona Democratic Party has reportedly self-financed his race to the tune of $8.3 million thus far. He’s used a good portion of those funds to run a series of television ads criticizing Kyl and his Senate colleagues for being influenced by oil companies and other special interests.
Kyl is no slouch on the fundraising scene, either, having raised $11 million. And every penny counts in a contest that is being fought increasingly over the airwaves. With both candidates answering each other’s barbs with alternating television ads, the campaigns’ media buys are totaling several hundred thousand dollars per week.
Kyl is seen as politically conservative by 55% of voters—the same percentage that sees his fellow Arizona Sen. John McCain as moderate. McCain, in the spotlight of late as a potential contender for the 2008 Republican presidential nomination, is also seen as moderate by a plurality of the general voting public, which places him very close to the American political center.
Thirty-five percent (35%) of voters in this survey see Pederson as politically moderate while 33% say he’s liberal.
Kyl must go through the formality of a September 12th primary election before he’s the Republicans’ “official” nominee, but he’s been acting very much the candidate focused on a win in November and a return ticket to D.C. in January 2007. His primary opponent is write-in candidate Michael Aloisis.
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