Survey of 500 Likely Voters
August 7, 2006
Election 2006: Illinois Governor
Rod Blagojevich (D) 45%
Judy Baar Topinka (R) 37%
Election 2006: Illinois Governor
Surveys Blag. Topinka
Apr-Jul-Aug 43% 38%
Mar-Apr-Jul 41% 40%
Feb-Mar-Apr 40% 41%
Jan-Feb-Mar 40% 42%
Election 2006: Illinois Governor
Date Blag. Topinka
Aug 7 45% 37%
Jul 6 45% 34%
Apr 18 38% 44%
Mar 27 41% 43%
Feb 22 42% 36%
Jan 25 37% 48%
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Illinois Governor: Blagojevich Still Ahead

Blagojevich (D) 45% Topinka (R) 37%

Governor Rod Blagojevich

The power of incumbency is not necessarily paving an easy road to re-election for Illinois Governor Rod Blagojevich.  The most recent Rasmussen Reports election survey of 500 likely voters in Illinois shows the governor leading State Treasurer Judy Baar Topinka 45% to 37% (see crosstabs).  That’s little changed from his lead of 45% to 34% in last month’s poll.

Blagojevich’s lukewarm numbers have remained largely unchanged since July’s survey.  Just 48% of Illinois voters have a favorable opinion of the Governor, including just 12% with a “very” favorable opinion. Twice as many, 25%, hold a “very” unfavorable opinion of the incumbent.

Normally, such results would alarm any Governor.  However, Blagojovich is blessed with a challenger whose unpopularity matches his own.  Only 8% of those surveyed say they have a “very” favorable opinion of Topinka while 24% report a “very” unfavorable view of the candidate.  Overall, 43% of Illinois voters have at least a somewhat favorable opinion of Topinka.

Nevertheless, Topinka continues to toil in the campaign trenches.  On August 7, she appeared solo at a candidate forum sponsored by the Metropolitan Planning Council, using the opportunity to tease the release of her education plan to more than 1,000 council members.  Blagojevich was invited but declined, instead choosing to speak to attendees of the national pipe trades union convention in Las Vegas.  The Illinois Pipe Trades Association is reportedly a major donor to Blagojevich’s re-election efforts.

Taking a look at the issues of greatest importance to Illinois’ voters, the economy (37%), the war in Iraq (19%) and national security (14%) are the top three responses.

Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2006 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a mid-term election. We update the President's Job Approval Ratings daily and are polling competitive Senate and Governor's races at least once a month in 2006.

Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome.

During Election 2004, was also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.


Minnesota Governor:
Pawlenty on the Rebound

Minnesota Senate

Election 2006