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August 17, 2005--Democratic Senator
Maria Cantwell is considered one of the few potentially vulnerable
incumbents for the Election 2006 cycle. However, the latest
Rasmussen Reports survey shows Cantwell with a solid lead over two
potential challengers.
Cantwell leads Republican Party Chairman
Chris Vance by 25 percentage points--57% to 32%. She also leads
former Congressman
Rick White by 23 points--56% to 33%.
Cantwell's prospects have improved since
Dino Rossi indicated he will stay out of the Senate race in
2006. Rossi was nearly elected Governor last November before a
controversial recount determined that Christine Gregoire won the
closest election in state history.
A
survey conducted earlier this year found Rossi holding a slight
lead in a hypothetical match-up with Cantwell.
Cantwell also benefits from the fact
that President Bush's Approval Rating has dipped to 39% in the state
of Washington. Just 25% believe the country is headed in the right
direction.
Cantwell holds large leads among both
men and women. She also leads both Republican challengers in all age
groups, although the GOP is competitive among 30-somethings.
Cantwell is viewed favorably by 57% of
Washington voters and unfavorably by 36%.
For Vance, the numbers are 30%
favorable, 41% unfavorable. Rick White is viewed favorably by 34%
and unfavorably by 37%.
Governor Christine Gregoire is viewed
favorably by 51%.
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm
specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of
public opinion polling information.
Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate
polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to
project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage
point of the actual outcome.
During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was
also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had
twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many
as all competitors combined.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen
Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
To keep up with our latest releases, be
sure to visit the Rasmussen Reports Home Page.
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The telephone survey of 500 Likely
Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports July 18, 2005. The
margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points
with a 95% level of confidence (see Methodology)
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