|50% Say U.S. Winning War on Terror 25% Say Terrorists Winning|
Survey of 1,000 Adults
December 19-20, 2005
December 21, 2005--NOTE: This is the final update of 2005... a new page has been created for 2006 updates.
The President's Sunday night speech has increased the nation's confidence concerning the situation in Iraq and the War on Terror. Confidence is up among Republicans and unaffiliateds, but not among Democrats.
Fifty percent (50%) of Americans now believe that the U.S. and its allies are winning the War on Terror. That's up from 44% immediately preceding the speech. It's also the highest level of confidence in more than a year.
Just 25% of Americans believe the terrorists are winning. Rasmussen Reports has asked this survey question more than 70 times over the past two years. Just once, in April 2004, has a smaller percentage of Americans believed that the terrorists were winning. When December began, 28% believed the terrorists were winning.
Forty percent (40%) of Americans now give the President good or excellent marks for handling the situation in Iraq. That's up from 35% before the speech.
The number giving the President poor marks on Iraq declined to 39% from 42%. This is the first time all year that the number giving the President good or excellent marks has matched the number saying poor.
Forty-two percent (42%) now say things will get better in Iraq over the next six months. That's up from 37% before the speech. Thirty-seven percent (37%) say things will get worse.
At the beginning of 2005, just 28% of Americans thought the situation in Iraq would get better over the next six month. A Rasmussen Reports survey at the time found that 50% of Americans expected things to get worse.
Huge partisan divisions on questions dealing with Iraq remain. Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Republicans believe the U.S. and its allies are winning. That's up from 71% before the speech.
Just 25% of Democrats share that view (little changed from 24% before the speech). Forty percent (40%) of Democrats believe the terrorists are winning.
Among those those not affiliated with either major party, 44% now say the U.S. and its allies are winning. That's up nine points from 35% before the speech.
Twenty-four percent (24%) of unaffiliateds take the opposite view and say the terrorists are winning. That's down from 27% before the speech
Forty-two percent (42%) of Americans believe that, in the long run, the U.S. mission in Iraq will be viewed as a success (up from 39%). Thirty-seven percent (37%) believe it will be viewed as a failure (down from 42%).
Current results are not precisely comparable to 2004 survey results. Our 2004 data was based upon Interviews with Likely Voters. In 2005, our data is based upon a sample of American Adults. It is likely that this change could have a 2-3 percentage point impact on the reported results.
National Security issues were the most important voting issues of Election 2004.
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.
Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome.
During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
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The national telephone survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports December 19-20, 2005. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. (see Methodology)