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  38% Say U.S. Winning War on Terror                       36% Say Terrorists Winning

Survey of 1,000 Adults

August 10-11, 2005

Who is Winning War on Terror?

U.S. / Allies 38%
Terrorists 36%
Neither 19%
Not Sure 7%

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August 12, 2005--Just 38% of Americans now believe the U.S. and its Allies are winning the War on Terror. A Rasmussen Reports survey found that 36% believe the terrorists are winning.

Those figures are by far the most pessimistic ever recorded by Rasmussen Reports. The previous low came in June when 42% thought the allies were winning and 32% thought the terrorists had the edge. During Election 2004, roughly half of all voters believed the U.S. and its allies were winning.

Not coincidentally, the President's Job Approval Ratings have also fallen this month.

Huge partisan divisions on questions dealing with Iraq remain. Republicans by 66% to 19% margin overwhelmingly believe that the U.S. and its allies are winning.

However, 50% of Democrats believe the terrorists are winning and 20% believe the U.S. is winning.

A month ago, those not affiliated with either major party were evenly divided. Now, by a 41% to 24% margin, they believe the terrorists are winning.

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Thirty-eight percent (38%) now believe that the U.S. is safer than it was before 9/11. That's unchanged compared to a month ago.

Thirty-six percent (36%) give the President good or excellent ratings for handling the situation in Iraq. That is down a point from a month ago and down three from two months ago.

Just 29% now say things will get better in Iraq over the next six months. That's down from 33% a month ago. Forty-eight percent (48%) expect things to get worse. Those figures are the most pessimistic since the January 30 elections in Iraq.

At the beginning of 2005, just 28% of Americans thought the situation in Iraq would get better over the next six month. A Rasmussen Reports survey at the time found that 50% of Americans expected things to get worse.

Thirty-five percent (35%) of Americans believe that, in the long run, the U.S. mission in Iraq will be viewed as a success. Forty-six percent (46%) believe it will be viewed as a failure. Those figures are also more pessimistic than last month.

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Current results are not precisely comparable to 2004 survey results. Our 2004 data was based upon Interviews with Likely Voters. In 2005, our data is based upon a sample of American Adults. It is likely that this change could have a 2-3 percentage point impact on the reported results.

National Security issues were the most important voting issues of Election 2004.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome.

During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

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The national telephone survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports August 10-11, 2005.  The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. (see Methodology)


Who is Winning the War on Terror?

Dates

US/Allies Terrorists
Aug 10-11 38 36
July 13-14 44 34
June 5-7 42 32
May 14-15 44 29
Apr 8-10 47 29
Feb 11-13 47 26
Jan 2-3 45 27
Dec 10-12 50 30
Dec 3-5 51 27
Nov 19-22 51 28
Nov 12-14 52 27
Nov 5-7 50 29
Oct 29-31 49 27
Oct 22-24 49 27
Oct 15-17 51 27
Oct 8-10 52 26
Oct 1-3 52 27

NOTE: 

2005 Data Based Upon Interviews with American Adults

2004 Data Based Upon Interviews with Likely Voters

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Copyright 2005 Rasmussen Reports