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  VA Senate 2006: Warner 48% Allen 44%

Survey of 500 Likely Voters

July 12, 2005

Election 2006

Virginia Senator

George Allen (R) 44%
Mark Warner (D) 48%
Other 3%

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July 19, 2005--Senator George Allen will face a major re-election battle if Governor Mark Warner decides to challenge him in 2006. The latest Rasmussen Reports Election 2006 survey finds the Democratic Governor leading by four percentage points in that match-up.

Warner currently attracts 48% of the vote to 44% for Allen.  Many people consider it unlikely that Warner will challenge Allen. It would be difficult for other Democrats to match Warner's numbers at this time.

Three months ago, Allen was ahead by four points. Both Warner and Allen are considered prospects for their party's Presidential nomination in 2008.

(A separate release shows the GOP has an edge in the 2005 race to be Virginia's next Governor).

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of Virginia voters favor a military response to the London bombings. That's a bit higher than the national average.

Supporters of Senator Allen overwhelmingly favor a military response. Warner voters are divided--39% believe the appropriate response is to withdraw troops from Iraq while 34% prefer a military attack.

Warner is viewed favorably by 63% of voters in the state and unfavorably by 31%. The numbers for Allen are 58% favorable and 37% unfavorable.

The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted July 12, 2005. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points, with a 95% level of confidence.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

Our publications provide real-time information on consumer confidence, investor confidence, employment data, the political situation, and other topics of value and interest.

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Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

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The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports July 12, 2005.  The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. 40% of survey respondents were Republican, 33% Democrat, and 27% unaffiliated (see Methodology)



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