| VA President 2008: Warner 46% Allen 41% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Survey of 500 Likely Voters June 15, 2005
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June 17, 2005--Virginia, the state that gave our nation most of its Presidents during the founding era, now boasts two prospects for their parties' 2008 Presidential nomination--Governor Mark Warner for the Democrats and Senator George Allen for the Republicans. A hypothetical Presidential match-up between the home-town candidates finds that 46% of Virginia voters would vote for Warner while 41% would vote for Allen. An earlier survey found that if those candidates were to meet in the 2006 U.S. Senate election, Allen would hold a slight edge. (A separate release shows the GOP also has an edge in the 2005 race to be Virginia's next Governor). Virginia voters may be split between Warner and Allen, but Allen holds a nine point lead in the state over Democrat Hillary Clinton. In that match-up, Allen gets 50% of the vote to 41% for Clinton. [More Below]
Just 79% of Virginia's Warner voters would also vote for Clinton. Fifteen percent (15%) of Warner voters would opt for the Republican Allen rather than the former First Lady. Governor Warner is viewed favorably by 62% of Virginia voters and unfavorably by 31%. Fifty-nine percent (59%) have a favorable opinion of Senator Allen. Thirty-one percent (31%) have an unfavorable opinion. For Senator Clinton, the numbers in Virginia are 45% favorable and 51% unfavorable. In the Presidential match-up between Allen and Warner, 44% of those not committed to either candidate are Republicans. Thirteen percent (13%) are Democrats. Allen leads among entrepreneurs (those who are self-employed or own their own business). Warner leads among other private sector workers. The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted Wednesday night, June 15, 2005. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points, with a 95% level of confidence. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. Our publications provide real-time information on consumer confidence, investor confidence, employment data, the political situation, and other topics of value and interest. During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports June 15, 2005. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. 39% of survey respondents were Republican, 33% Democrat, and 28% unaffiliated (see Methodology) |
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