September 16, 2005--The race to be
Virginia's next Governor is getting closer.
The latest Rasmussen Reports election
poll finds Republican Jerry Kilgore leading Democrat Tim Kaine by
just three percentage points. In
August, Kilgore had
a six point lead. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage
points with a 95% level of confidence.
Given a choice between Kilgore and Kaine,
Kilgore gets 44% of the vote, Kaine attracts 41%, and 5% say they
will vote for some "other" candidate.
When respondents are asked about a
choice between Kilgore, Kaine, and Russell Potts, Kilgore retains a
3-point lead, 43% to 40%. Potts, a Republican running as an
Independent, earns 5% of the vote and 2% say they will vote for
Fifty-nine percent (59%) of voters in
the state believe that voter approval should be required for all tax
increases. Virginia voters overwhelmingly oppose use of tax money to
fund day laborer shelters. (See views on other issues).
Kilgore and Kaine are competing to
replace incumbent Governor Mark Warner. Warmer is exceptionally
popular, earning a 70% favorable rating from Virginia voters.
Warner is also perceived as a
centrist--45% see him as politically moderate, 26% say he's liberal,
and 23% conservative.
Kaine is viewed as liberal by 33% and
conservative by 21% Kilgore is seen as conservative by 57% and
liberal by 10% A plurality of Virginia voters are conservative.
In terms of
voting issues, the economy
ranks number one--28% of Virginia voters say that's their top
priority. Health care (15%), education (14%), and taxes (11%) are
the only other issues seen as a top priority by at least 10% of
The two leading candidates held a debate
on Tuesday. According to the Washington Times, "Many in
attendance said Mr. Kaine came off as the more composed candidate."
The survey was conducted Wednesday night, after people would have
seen or heard a full day of news coverage on the debate.
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm
specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of
public opinion polling information.
Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate
polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to
project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage
point of the actual outcome.
During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was
also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had
twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many
as all competitors combined.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen
Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
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The telephone survey of 500 Likely
Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports September 14, 2005. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/-
percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. 39% of survey
respondents were Republican, 35% Democrat, and 26% unaffiliated (see Methodology)