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  VA: Kilgore 47% Kaine 41%

Survey of 500 Likely Voters

July 12, 2005

Election 2005

Virginia Governor

Jerry Kilgore (R) 47%
Tim Kaine (D) 41%
Other 4%



July 14, 2005--A month has gone by since Virginia's Primary Elections and Republican Jerry Kilgore still leads Democrat Tim Kaine by six percentage points in the Governor's race.

Kilgore now earns 47% of the vote, Kaine attracts 41%, and 4% say they will vote for some other candidate. A month ago, Kilgore was ahead 46% to 40%. Three months ago, Kilgore had an eight point lead and 5% supported a third party option.

In the nation's only other race for Governor in 2005, Democrat Jon Corzine has a 7-point lead in New Jersey.

Fifty-three percent (53%) of Virginia voters have a favorable opinion of Kilgore. That's up a bit from earlier surveys. Thirty-five percent (35%) have an unfavorable opinion while 12% are not sure.

For Kaine, the numbers are 50% favorable, 35% unfavorable, and 15% not sure. For both candidates, the percentage of voters with no opinion has fallen significantly over the past month.

The state's current Governor, Democrat Mark Warner, is viewed favorably by 63% of the state's voters. Thirty-one (31%) have an unfavorable view. That figure is unchanged.

At the moment, Kilgore's voters are more committed than Kaine's. Among those most likely to vote, Kilgore leads 50% to 39%.

The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted July 12, 2005. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points, with a 95% level of confidence.

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Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

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The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports July 12, 2005.  The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. 40% of survey respondents were Republican, 33% Democrat, and 27% unaffiliated (see Methodology)

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