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September 16, 2005--Twenty-eight percent
(28%) of Virginia voters say that the economy is the most important
issue in the race to succeed Mark Warner as Governor.
Republican Jerry Kilgore holds a
narrow three-point
lead over Democrat Tim Kaine in that campaign. The survey margin
of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.
Other issues on the minds of many voters
include health care (15%), Education (14%), and taxes (11%).
Kilgore leads among voters who name
Taxes, Immigration, Gun Ownership Laws, and Same-Sex Marriage as the
most important issue.
Kaine holds the edge among those who
name Education and Health Care as the top issue.
Voters who name the Economy,
Transportation, and Abortion, are fairly evenly divided between
Kilgore and Kaine.
Forty-six percent (46%) of voters say
last year's $1.5 billion tax increase was good for the state. Those
voters support Kaine by a 2-to-1 margin. Kaine supported the tax
hike, two-thirds of which was used for education.
Thirty-eight percent (38%) say the tax
increase was bad for the state. They support Kilgore by a nearly
2-to-1 margin. Kilgore opposed the tax increase, but has said he
won't overturn it.
The 16% who aren't sure about the tax
increase tend to favor Kilgore as well.
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Fifty-nine percent (59%) say that voter
approval should be required for "all tax increases in the state of
Virginia." Thirty-five percent (35%) disagree.
Just 18% of voters believe that taxpayer
dollars should be used to fund day laborer shelters that can be used
by both legal immigrants and illegal aliens to assemble and find
work. Seventy-one percent (71%) of voters oppose the funding of such
shelters.
Kilgore is opposed to the day laborer
shelters and Kaine calls that opposition "mean-spirited."
By an 88% to 8% margin, Virginia voters
also say that illegal aliens should not be allowed to receive
government benefits such as Medicaid.
Fifty-six percent (56%) of the state's
voters are Pro-Choice on abortion. Thirty-eight percent (38%) are
Pro-Life.
Sixty-eight percent (68%) favor the
death penalty for persons convicted of murder. Twenty-two percent
(22%) are opposed.
Fifty-four percent (54%) believe laws
covering the sale of firearms should be made more strict. Eleven
percent (11%) say the laws should be less strict while 32% don't see
a need for change.
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm
specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of
public opinion polling information.
Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate
polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to
project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage
point of the actual outcome.
During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was
also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had
twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many
as all competitors combined.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen
Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
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The telephone survey of 500 Likely
Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports September 14, 2005. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/-
4.5
percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. 39% of survey
respondents were Republican, 35% Democrat, and 26% unaffiliated (see Methodology)
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